Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultUSA to win ✓63% · @1.53
Double chanceUSA or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
USA vs Peru: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
USA welcome Peru for a Friendlies fixture on Saturday 26 September (21:30 WAT).
Current form
USA, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Belgium, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 2 lost from 5. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Peru, last 3: LWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Spain, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give USA 2.2 xG, Peru 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – USA 63%, draw 20%, Peru 17%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: USA 2–1 Peru. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
USA63%fair 1.59 · @1.53
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.80
Peru17%fair 6.03 · @6.25
3.27Expected goals
2.21USA xG
1.06Peru xG
53%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: USA 2.2 – 1.1 Peru expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
USA to win✓
63%
1.59
1.53
Double chance
USA or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.83
Draw no bet
USA (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
USA -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.14
First team to score
USA to score first
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
USA ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT USA / FT USA✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.16
–
Recent results
USA – last 6
LWLWWL
7 Jul
vs Belgium
1–4
L
2 Jul
vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
2–0
W
26 Jun
@ Türkiye
2–3
L
19 Jun
vs Australia
2–0
W
13 Jun
vs Paraguay
4–1
W
6 Jun
vs Germany
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Peru – last 3
LWD
9 Jun
vs Spain
1–3
L
6 Jun
@ Haiti
2–1
W
31 Mar
vs Honduras
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between USA and Peru.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win USA vs Peru?
On our numbers USA have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Peru 17%.
How many goals will there be in USA vs Peru?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for USA vs Peru?
Our predicted score is USA 2–1 Peru, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is USA vs Peru?
USA vs Peru (Friendlies) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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