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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kilmarnock v Aberdeen: numbers & prediction

League Cup · Scotland · Rugby Park

Kilmarnock

DLLWL
1–1
FTPens 1–3

Aberdeen

DLLWL
Kilmarnock 34%Draw 23%Aberdeen 43% Expected goals 1.15 – 1.35
58%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.73 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.70Odds
2

Value bet: Aberdeen to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAberdeen to win ✗43% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.62

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Aberdeen travel to face Kilmarnock on Saturday 12 September in the League Cup, with Rugby Park the venue – the ball rolls at 17:45 WAT.

Current form

Kilmarnock, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Aberdeen, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Aberdeen, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Kilmarnock, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Aberdeen, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Kilmarnock.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Sep 2026) it ended Aberdeen 0–0 Kilmarnock.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kilmarnock 1.1 xG, Aberdeen 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kilmarnock 34%, draw 23%, Aberdeen 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Aberdeen to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 43%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kilmarnock 1–1 Aberdeen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kilmarnock34%fair 2.95 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.20
Aberdeen43%fair 2.30 · @2.50
2.50Expected goals
1.15Kilmarnock xG
1.35Aberdeen xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–27%

From our goals model: Kilmarnock 1.1 – 1.4 Aberdeen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAberdeen to win ✗43%2.302.50 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.291.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.731.70
Draw no betAberdeen (draw no bet)56%1.78–
Asian handicapKilmarnock +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreAberdeen to score first50%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aberdeen / FT Aberdeen ✗24%4.16–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.62–

Recent results

Kilmarnock – last 6

DLLWLL
5 Sep@ Aberdeen0–0D
2 Sepvs ST Mirren0–1L
29 Augvs Dundee Utd0–4L
14 Augvs Ayr Utd3–2W
9 Augvs Celtic1–5L
2 Aug@ ST Johnstone3–4L
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Aberdeen – last 6

DLLWLW
5 Sepvs Kilmarnock0–0D
2 Sep@ Celtic0–3L
30 Augvs Rangers0–1L
15 Augvs Dundee3–0W
8 Aug@ Dundee0–2L
1 Augvs Heart Of Midlothian2–1W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Sep 2026Aberdeen v Kilmarnock0–0
Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen head-to-head page →

More League Cup predictions

League hub
FT Ross County0 Hibernian3 111%5.80X21%4.20268%1.44 0.9–2.3xG 2Hibernian to win 68%@1.44 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?

On our numbers Kilmarnock have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Aberdeen 43%.

How many goals will there be in Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?

Our predicted score is Kilmarnock 1–1 Aberdeen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen (League Cup) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Rugby Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.