Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHeart Of Midlothian to win ✓70% · @1.25
Double chanceHeart Of Midlothian or draw ✓92% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.71
Stenhousemuir vs Heart Of Midlothian: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Friday 11 September: Stenhousemuir v Heart Of Midlothian in the League Cup, played at Ochilview Park.
Current form
Stenhousemuir, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Livingston, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Heart Of Midlothian, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Dundee, at home. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stenhousemuir 0.8 xG, Heart Of Midlothian 2.5 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stenhousemuir 8%, draw 22%, Heart Of Midlothian 70%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Heart Of Midlothian to win (70%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stenhousemuir 0–2 Heart Of Midlothian. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stenhousemuir8%fair 12.82 · @9.00
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @5.00
Heart Of Midlothian70%fair 1.42 · @1.25
3.33Expected goals
0.84Stenhousemuir xG
2.49Heart Of Midlothian xG
54%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
1–29%
0–39%
0–19%
1–38%
1–18%
From our goals model: Stenhousemuir 0.8 – 2.5 Heart Of Midlothian expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heart Of Midlothian to win✓
70%
1.42
1.25
Double chance
Heart Of Midlothian or draw✓
92%
1.08
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Heart Of Midlothian (draw no bet)✓
90%
1.11
–
Asian handicap
Heart Of Midlothian -1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
First team to score
Heart Of Midlothian to score first✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Heart Of Midlothian ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heart Of Midlothian / FT Heart Of Midlothian✓
50%
2.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.71
–
Recent results
Stenhousemuir – last 6
WWWDWD
4 Sep
@ Livingston
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Inverness CT
3–1
W
22 Aug
@ Queen's Park
2–0
W
16 Aug
vs Motherwell
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Morton
2–0
W
1 Aug
@ Raith Rovers
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Heart Of Midlothian – last 6
WWWDDW
6 Sep
vs Dundee
2–1
W
3 Sep
@ Hibernian
3–1
W
29 Aug
vs ST Johnstone
2–1
W
26 Aug
@ Rapid Vienna
1–1
D
20 Aug
vs Rapid Vienna
2–2
D
16 Aug
vs Inverness CT
6–2
W
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stenhousemuir and Heart Of Midlothian.
What is the prediction for Stenhousemuir vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Our pick is Heart Of Midlothian to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Stenhousemuir vs Heart Of Midlothian?
On our numbers Stenhousemuir have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Heart Of Midlothian 70%.
How many goals will there be in Stenhousemuir vs Heart Of Midlothian?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stenhousemuir vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Our predicted score is Stenhousemuir 0–2 Heart Of Midlothian, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Stenhousemuir vs Heart Of Midlothian?
Stenhousemuir vs Heart Of Midlothian (League Cup) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Ochilview Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
