FC Aarau 21%Draw 22%FC Zurich 56%Expected goals 1.76 – 2.74
79%
Betarazi pick
FC Zurich or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultFC Zurich to win ✗56% · @1.80
Double chanceFC Zurich or draw ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗70% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.63
FC Aarau vs FC Zurich: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 18 October the Schweizer Cup brings FC Aarau against FC Zurich. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT.
Current form
FC Aarau, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Stade Nyonnais, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
FC Zurich, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over FC Thun, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Momentum favours FC Zurich, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for FC Aarau.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Aarau 1.8 xG, FC Zurich 2.7 xG – a total near 4.5. That is an open game on paper: 83% for three or more goals, 70% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Aarau 21%, draw 22%, FC Zurich 56%.
Lower-risk option: FC Zurich or draw (79%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FC Zurich or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Aarau 1–2 FC Zurich. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Aarau21%fair 4.66 · @3.50
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.70
FC Zurich56%fair 1.78 · @1.80
4.50Expected goals
1.76FC Aarau xG
2.74FC Zurich xG
70%Both score
83%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–27%
1–37%
2–26%
2–36%
1–15%
2–15%
From our goals model: FC Aarau 1.8 – 2.7 FC Zurich expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Zurich to win✗
56%
1.78
1.80
Double chance
FC Zurich or draw✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
70%
1.44
1.50
Draw no bet
FC Zurich (draw no bet)✗
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
FC Aarau +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
First team to score
FC Zurich to score first✗
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
FC Zurich ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Zurich / FT FC Zurich✗
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.63
–
Recent results
FC Aarau – last 6
LLLDWD
9 Oct
@ Stade Nyonnais
1–2
L
2 Oct
vs BSC Young Boys
1–2
L
18 Sep
@ FC Winterthur
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs SC Kriens
2–2
D
4 Sep
vs Rapperswil
3–2
W
31 Aug
@ FC WIL 1900
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
FC Zurich – last 6
WDWDLW
10 Oct
vs FC Thun
4–2
W
19 Sep
@ FC Sion
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs FC Vaduz
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Grasshoppers
2–2
D
1 Sep
vs BSC Young Boys
2–4
L
29 Aug
@ Lausanne
3–2
W
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Aarau and FC Zurich.
Our pick is FC Zurich or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FC Aarau vs FC Zurich?
On our numbers FC Aarau have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Zurich 56%.
How many goals will there be in FC Aarau vs FC Zurich?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Aarau vs FC Zurich?
Our predicted score is FC Aarau 1–2 FC Zurich, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is FC Aarau vs FC Zurich?
FC Aarau vs FC Zurich (Schweizer Cup) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
