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Stade Lausanne-Ouchy v Étoile Carouge: numbers & prediction

Schweizer Cup · Switzerland · Stade Olympique de la Pontaise

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

WDDWW
3–0
FT

Étoile Carouge

LLLDL
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 67%Draw 20%Étoile Carouge 13% Expected goals 3.62 – 1.88
70%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultStade Lausanne-Ouchy to win ✓67% · @1.57
Double chanceStade Lausanne-Ouchy or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗70% · @1.60
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗6% · fair 16.45

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Friday 16 October: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy v Étoile Carouge in the Schweizer Cup, played at Stade Olympique de la Pontaise.

Current form

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Rapperswil, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 6 clean sheets in that run.

Étoile Carouge, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Yverdon Sport, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for Étoile Carouge.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Sep 2026) it ended Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 3–0 Étoile Carouge. The last 2 head-to-heads: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1 win, Étoile Carouge 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 3.6 xG, Étoile Carouge 1.9 xG – a total near 5.5. That is an open game on paper: 91% for three or more goals, 70% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 67%, draw 20%, Étoile Carouge 13%.
  • Lower-risk option: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy or draw (87%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.43, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 3–1 Étoile Carouge. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy67%fair 1.49 · @1.57
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @3.80
Étoile Carouge13%fair 7.60 · @4.60
5.50Expected goals
3.62Stade Lausanne-Ouchy xG
1.88Étoile Carouge xG
70%Both score
91%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

3–16%
3–26%
4–16%
4–25%
2–15%
2–25%

From our goals model: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 3.6 – 1.9 Étoile Carouge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStade Lausanne-Ouchy to win ✓67%1.491.57 ▲
Double chanceStade Lausanne-Ouchy or draw ✓87%1.151.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗70%1.431.60 ▲
Draw no betStade Lausanne-Ouchy (draw no bet) ✓84%1.20–
Asian handicapStade Lausanne-Ouchy -1 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗80%1.25–
Over/under 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 goals ✗64%1.56–
First team to scoreStade Lausanne-Ouchy to score first ✓66%1.52–
Half-time resultStade Lausanne-Ouchy ahead at half-time ✓55%1.81–
Half-time / full-timeHT Stade Lausanne-Ouchy / FT Stade Lausanne-Ouchy ✓49%2.04–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗6%16.45–

Recent results

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy – last 6

WDDWWW
9 Oct@ Rapperswil3–0W
2 Oct@ Grenoble0–0D
20 Sep@ Yverdon Sport0–0D
11 Sepvs FC WIL 19004–0W
4 Sep@ SC Kriens2–0W
1 Sepvs Étoile Carouge3–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Étoile Carouge – last 6

LLLDLW
9 Octvs Yverdon Sport0–2L
18 Sep@ SC Kriens1–4L
11 Sepvs FC Winterthur0–1L
4 Sepvs FC WIL 19001–1D
1 Sep@ Stade Lausanne-Ouchy0–3L
28 Augvs Rapperswil2–1W
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Sep 2026Stade Lausanne-Ouchy v Étoile Carouge3–0
10 Apr 2026Étoile Carouge v Stade Lausanne-Ouchy1–1
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge head-to-head page →

More Schweizer Cup predictions

League hub
FT Rapperswil0 FC ST. Gallen2 115%7.00X18%4.80267%1.33 1.7–3.3xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.62 ✗
FT Stade Nyonnais0 FC Basel 18933 16%29.00X19%7.50275%1.10 1.6–3.9xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@2.20 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge?

On our numbers Stade Lausanne-Ouchy have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Étoile Carouge 13%.

How many goals will there be in Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge?

We expect about 5.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 91% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge?

Our predicted score is Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 3–1 Étoile Carouge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.5 goals in total.

When is Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge?

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge (Schweizer Cup) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Olympique de la Pontaise.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.