Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultMamelodi Sundowns to win ✗60% · @1.57
Double chanceMamelodi Sundowns or draw ✗83% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.07
Mamelodi Sundowns vs USM Alger: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mamelodi Sundowns welcome USM Alger to Loftus Versfeld Stadium for a CAF Super Cup fixture on Sunday 8 November (14:00 WAT).
Current form
Mamelodi Sundowns, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Durban City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
USM Alger, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over CS Constantine, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mamelodi Sundowns 1.6 xG, USM Alger 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mamelodi Sundowns 60%, draw 23%, USM Alger 17%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mamelodi Sundowns 2–0 USM Alger. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mamelodi Sundowns60%fair 1.68 · @1.57
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.30
USM Alger17%fair 5.82 · @5.50
2.25Expected goals
1.57Mamelodi Sundowns xG
0.68USM Alger xG
50%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Mamelodi Sundowns 1.6 – 0.7 USM Alger expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mamelodi Sundowns to win✗
60%
1.68
1.57
Double chance
Mamelodi Sundowns or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
1.44
Draw no bet
Mamelodi Sundowns (draw no bet)✗
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
USM Alger +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.05
First team to score
Mamelodi Sundowns to score first
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mamelodi Sundowns / FT Mamelodi Sundowns✗
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.07
–
Recent results
Mamelodi Sundowns – last 6
WWDDWW
1 Nov
vs Durban City
4–1
W
27 Oct
vs Marumo Gallants
1–0
W
23 Oct
vs Wiliete
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Wiliete
0–0
D
13 Oct
@ Richards Bay
4–1
W
10 Oct
@ Orlando Pirates
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
USM Alger – last 6
WWDLWW
31 Oct
@ CS Constantine
2–0
W
13 Oct
vs JS Saoura
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs CR Belouizdad
2–2
D
8 Oct
@ MB Rouisset
0–1
L
19 Sep
@ Olympique Akbou
3–2
W
10 Sep
vs JS El Biar
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mamelodi Sundowns and USM Alger.
What is the prediction for Mamelodi Sundowns vs USM Alger?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Mamelodi Sundowns vs USM Alger?
On our numbers Mamelodi Sundowns have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and USM Alger 17%.
How many goals will there be in Mamelodi Sundowns vs USM Alger?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mamelodi Sundowns vs USM Alger?
Our predicted score is Mamelodi Sundowns 2–0 USM Alger, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Mamelodi Sundowns vs USM Alger?
Mamelodi Sundowns vs USM Alger (CAF Super Cup) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Loftus Versfeld Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
