Cerro Largo vs Liverpool Montevideo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Liverpool Montevideo travel to face Cerro Largo on Sunday 30 August in the Primera División Apertura, with Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla the venue – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT. In the table, Cerro Largo are 15th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 13 matches; Liverpool Montevideo are 1st (leading the league) with 30. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Cerro Largo, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Plaza Colonia, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Liverpool Montevideo, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Fenix, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Liverpool Montevideo, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.0 for Cerro Largo.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Jun 2026) it ended Liverpool Montevideo 0–0 Cerro Largo. The last 2 head-to-heads: Cerro Largo 0 wins, Liverpool Montevideo 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cerro Largo 0.8 xG, Liverpool Montevideo 1.4 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cerro Largo 25%, draw 24%, Liverpool Montevideo 51%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.95). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerro Largo 1–1 Liverpool Montevideo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cerro Largo25%fair 3.98 · @3.80
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.00
Liverpool Montevideo51%fair 1.97 · @2.00
2.20Expected goals
0.84Cerro Largo xG
1.36Liverpool Montevideo xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–113%
0–011%
0–210%
1–09%
1–29%
From our goals model: Cerro Largo 0.8 – 1.4 Liverpool Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liverpool Montevideo to win✗
51%
1.97
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.95
Draw no bet
Liverpool Montevideo (draw no bet)
67%
1.49
–
Asian handicap
Cerro Largo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Liverpool Montevideo to score first✓
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liverpool Montevideo / FT Liverpool Montevideo✗
What is the prediction for Cerro Largo vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Cerro Largo vs Liverpool Montevideo?
On our numbers Cerro Largo have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Liverpool Montevideo 51%.
How many goals will there be in Cerro Largo vs Liverpool Montevideo?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerro Largo vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Our predicted score is Cerro Largo 1–1 Liverpool Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Cerro Largo vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Cerro Largo vs Liverpool Montevideo (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
