Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Sassuolo to win @ 1.84 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSassuolo to win ✗64% · @1.84
Double chanceSassuolo or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27
Sassuolo vs Frosinone: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Wednesday 2 September: Sassuolo v Frosinone in the Coppa Italia.
Current form
Sassuolo, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Torino, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Frosinone, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Fiorentina, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sassuolo 2.3 xG, Frosinone 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sassuolo 64%, draw 20%, Frosinone 16%.
Lower-risk option: Sassuolo or draw (84%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Sassuolo to win @1.84 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sassuolo or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sassuolo 2–1 Frosinone. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sassuolo64%fair 1.56 · @1.84
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.60
Frosinone16%fair 6.25 · @4.00
3.37Expected goals
2.29Sassuolo xG
1.08Frosinone xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sassuolo 2.3 – 1.1 Frosinone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sassuolo to win✗
64%
1.56
1.84 ▲
Double chance
Sassuolo or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.73
Draw no bet
Sassuolo (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Sassuolo -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.83 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.12
First team to score
Sassuolo to score first
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Sassuolo ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sassuolo / FT Sassuolo✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.27
–
Recent results
Sassuolo – last 6
WLWLLD
29 Aug
vs Torino
2–1
W
23 Aug
@ Atalanta
1–2
L
17 Aug
vs Cesena
3–0
W
8 Aug
@ FC Augsburg
2–3
L
5 Aug
vs Celta Vigo
1–4
L
31 Jul
vs Folgore Caratese
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Frosinone – last 6
WLWLDD
29 Aug
@ Fiorentina
3–0
W
23 Aug
vs Juventus
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Juve Stabia
4–1
W
9 Aug
vs Lazio
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Benevento
2–2
D
29 Jul
vs Sambenedettese
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sassuolo and Frosinone.
Our pick is Sassuolo or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sassuolo vs Frosinone?
On our numbers Sassuolo have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Frosinone 16%.
How many goals will there be in Sassuolo vs Frosinone?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sassuolo vs Frosinone?
Our predicted score is Sassuolo 2–1 Frosinone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Sassuolo vs Frosinone?
Sassuolo vs Frosinone (Coppa Italia) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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