GOR Mahia 64%Draw 22%Murang'a SEAL 14%Expected goals 1.75 – 0.65
64%
Betarazi pick
GOR Mahia to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultGOR Mahia to win ✓64% · @1.53
Double chanceGOR Mahia or draw ✓86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.26
GOR Mahia vs Murang'a SEAL: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
GOR Mahia welcome Murang'a SEAL for a FKF Premier League fixture on Tuesday 13 October (17:00 WAT). In the table, GOR Mahia are 1st, leading the league, on 13 points after 6 matches; Murang'a SEAL are 8th (upper half) with 8.
Current form
GOR Mahia, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to KCB, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Murang'a SEAL, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with APS Bomet, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Murang'a SEAL, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for GOR Mahia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give GOR Mahia 1.7 xG, Murang'a SEAL 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 42%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – GOR Mahia 64%, draw 22%, Murang'a SEAL 14%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was GOR Mahia to win (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: GOR Mahia 1–0 Murang'a SEAL. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
GOR Mahia64%fair 1.55 · @1.53
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.50
Murang'a SEAL14%fair 7.34 · @5.75
2.39Expected goals
1.75GOR Mahia xG
0.65Murang'a SEAL xG
42%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: GOR Mahia 1.7 – 0.6 Murang'a SEAL expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GOR Mahia to win✓
64%
1.55
1.53
Double chance
GOR Mahia or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
–
Draw no bet
GOR Mahia (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
GOR Mahia -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
GOR Mahia to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
GOR Mahia ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GOR Mahia / FT GOR Mahia✓
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.26
–
Recent results
GOR Mahia – last 6
LLWLWD
2 Oct
vs KCB
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Pyramids FC
1–5
L
11 Sep
vs Bandari
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Pyramids FC
0–2
L
4 Sep
@ APS Bomet
1–0
W
7 Aug
@ Rayon Sports
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Murang'a SEAL – last 6
DWWWLL
2 Oct
@ APS Bomet
0–0
D
31 May
vs Mara Sugar
2–1
W
24 May
@ Bidco United
2–0
W
10 May
vs Homeboyz
1–0
W
6 May
@ Police
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Nairobi United
2–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between GOR Mahia and Murang'a SEAL.
What is the prediction for GOR Mahia vs Murang'a SEAL?
Our pick is GOR Mahia to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win GOR Mahia vs Murang'a SEAL?
On our numbers GOR Mahia have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Murang'a SEAL 14%.
How many goals will there be in GOR Mahia vs Murang'a SEAL?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for GOR Mahia vs Murang'a SEAL?
Our predicted score is GOR Mahia 1–0 Murang'a SEAL, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is GOR Mahia vs Murang'a SEAL?
GOR Mahia vs Murang'a SEAL (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
