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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tusker v Mara Sugar: numbers & prediction

Tusker

WDWLL
3–1
FT
Tusker 58%Draw 11%Mara Sugar 31%
58%
Betarazi pick

Tusker to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultTusker to win ✓58% · fair 1.72
Double chanceEither team to win ✓89% · fair 1.12

Tusker vs Mara Sugar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Friday 2 October: Tusker v Mara Sugar in the FKF Premier League. In the table, Tusker are 11th, lower half, on 6 points after 4 matches; Mara Sugar are 6th (upper half) with 9. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Tusker, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Al Ahli Wad Medani, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Mara Sugar, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ulinzi Stars, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Apr 2026) it ended Tusker 0–1 Mara Sugar.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tusker 58%, draw 11%, Mara Sugar 31%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Tusker to win (58%). Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tusker58%fair 1.72
Draw11%fair 9.09
Mara Sugar31%fair 3.23

Score grid: top six

Goal projections appear once goal data is in.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTusker to win ✓58%1.72–
Double chanceEither team to win ✓89%1.12–
Draw no betTusker (draw no bet) ✓65%1.53–

Recent results

Tusker – last 6

WDWLLW
12 Sepvs Al Ahli Wad Medani1–0W
6 Sep@ Al Ahli Wad Medani2–2D
1 Augvs KVZ2–0W
29 Julvs Rayon Sports0–1L
26 Jul@ Al Hilal Omdurman0–2L
14 Junvs Police2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Mara Sugar – last 6

DLWWWW
11 Sep@ Ulinzi Stars0–0D
31 May@ Murang'a SEAL1–2L
13 Mayvs Shabana1–0W
24 Apr@ Tusker1–0W
18 Apr@ Kariobangi Sharks1–0W
6 Aprvs Posta Rangers FC1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Apr 2026Tusker v Mara Sugar0–1
Tusker vs Mara Sugar head-to-head page →

FKF Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1GOR Mahia6411+413
2KCB6411+413
3AFC Leopards6240+310
4Kenya Police6231+19
5Shabana6231+19
6Mara Sugar623109
73K6231-19
8Murang'a SEAL6222+28
9Bandari614107
10Posta Rangers FC6213-47
11Tusker4202+26
12Migori Youth5131+16
13APS Bomet6132+16
14Ulinzi Stars6132-26
15Nairobi United6051-15
16Mathare United6123-25
17Homeboyz5122-25
18Mombasa Elite6015-71

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tusker vs Mara Sugar?

Our pick is Tusker to win with a 58% chance.

Who will win Tusker vs Mara Sugar?

On our numbers Tusker have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Mara Sugar 31%.

When is Tusker vs Mara Sugar?

Tusker vs Mara Sugar (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.