Kenya Police 64%Draw 24%Posta Rangers FC 12%Expected goals 1.43 – 0.43
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.47
6/10Rating
1.47Odds
1
Value bet: Kenya Police to win @ 1.72 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultKenya Police to win64% · @1.72
Double chanceKenya Police or draw88% · @1.16
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score65% · fair 1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals67% · @1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–022% · fair 4.49
Kenya Police vs Posta Rangers FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Sunday 15 November: Kenya Police v Posta Rangers FC in the FKF Premier League. In the table, Kenya Police are 4th, among the top four, on 9 points after 6 matches; Posta Rangers FC are 10th (lower half) with 7. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Kenya Police, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Homeboyz, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Posta Rangers FC, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Mathare United, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kenya Police 1.4 xG, Posta Rangers FC 0.4 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kenya Police 64%, draw 24%, Posta Rangers FC 12%.
Lower-risk option: Kenya Police or draw (88%) at 1.16.
Price worth noting: Kenya Police to win @1.72 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 64%.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.47). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kenya Police 1–0 Posta Rangers FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kenya Police64%fair 1.57 · @1.72
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.10
Posta Rangers FC12%fair 8.10 · @4.75
1.86Expected goals
1.43Kenya Police xG
0.43Posta Rangers FC xG
35%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–022%
2–016%
0–016%
1–110%
3–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Kenya Police 1.4 – 0.4 Posta Rangers FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kenya Police to win
64%
1.57
1.72 ▲
Double chance
Kenya Police or draw
88%
1.14
1.16
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
65%
1.55
–
Draw no bet
Kenya Police (draw no bet)
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Kenya Police -0.5 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
67%
1.50
1.47
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Kenya Police to score first
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kenya Police / FT Kenya Police
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
22%
4.49
–
Recent results
Kenya Police – last 3
DWL
7 Nov
@ Homeboyz
2–2
D
29 Oct
vs Ulinzi Stars
1–0
W
20 Oct
vs AFC Leopards
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Posta Rangers FC – last 6
WDWLLL
7 Nov
@ Mathare United
2–1
W
28 Oct
@ Bandari
0–0
D
23 Oct
vs KCB
1–0
W
18 Oct
@ Murang'a SEAL
1–5
L
10 Oct
vs Shabana
0–1
L
2 Oct
vs 3K
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kenya Police and Posta Rangers FC.
What is the prediction for Kenya Police vs Posta Rangers FC?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.47.
Who will win Kenya Police vs Posta Rangers FC?
On our numbers Kenya Police have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Posta Rangers FC 12%.
How many goals will there be in Kenya Police vs Posta Rangers FC?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 35% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kenya Police vs Posta Rangers FC?
Our predicted score is Kenya Police 1–0 Posta Rangers FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Kenya Police vs Posta Rangers FC?
Kenya Police vs Posta Rangers FC (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
