Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.18
St. Andrews vs Santa Lucía: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Santa Lucía travel to face St. Andrews on Friday 18 September in the Challenge League – the ball rolls at 17:15 WAT. In the table, St. Andrews are 11th, lower half, on 7 points after 7 matches; Santa Lucía are 13th (lower half) with 6. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
St. Andrews, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Victoria Hotspurs, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Santa Lucía, last 4: DDDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Vittoriosa Stars, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give St. Andrews 0.9 xG, Santa Lucía 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 54% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – St. Andrews 32%, draw 21%, Santa Lucía 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 2.08 – longer than our fair 1.85, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: St. Andrews 0–1 Santa Lucía. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
St. Andrews32%fair 3.11 · @2.75
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.40
Santa Lucía47%fair 2.14 · @2.15
2.18Expected goals
0.95St. Andrews xG
1.24Santa Lucía xG
43%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: St. Andrews 0.9 – 1.2 Santa Lucía expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santa Lucía to win✗
47%
2.14
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
–
Draw no bet
Santa Lucía (draw no bet)
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
St. Andrews +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
2.08 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Santa Lucía to score first
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santa Lucía / FT Santa Lucía✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.18
–
Recent results
St. Andrews – last 5
LLLLW
13 Sep
@ Victoria Hotspurs
0–3
L
27 Jun
@ Brechin
1–2
L
4 Apr
vs Birzebbuga
1–3
L
1 Mar
@ Fgura United
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ Balzan FC
4–1
W
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Santa Lucía – last 4
DDDD
12 Sep
vs Vittoriosa Stars
0–0
D
6 Apr
@ Mgarr United
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Vittoriosa Stars
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Zebbug Rangers
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St. Andrews and Santa Lucía.
What is the prediction for St. Andrews vs Santa Lucía?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.08.
Who will win St. Andrews vs Santa Lucía?
On our numbers St. Andrews have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Santa Lucía 47%.
How many goals will there be in St. Andrews vs Santa Lucía?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St. Andrews vs Santa Lucía?
Our predicted score is St. Andrews 0–1 Santa Lucía, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is St. Andrews vs Santa Lucía?
St. Andrews vs Santa Lucía (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
