Value bet: Gudja United to win @ 2.45 – our chance 48% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGudja United to win ✗48% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.28
Vittoriosa Stars vs Gudja United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gudja United travel to face Vittoriosa Stars on Saturday 19 September in the Challenge League – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Vittoriosa Stars are 14th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 7 matches; Gudja United are 16th (in the drop zone) with 0.
Current form
Vittoriosa Stars, last 5: DWDDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Santa Lucía, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Gudja United, last 4: LWDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Melita, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vittoriosa Stars 1.0 xG, Gudja United 1.3 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vittoriosa Stars 31%, draw 21%, Gudja United 48%.
Price worth noting: Gudja United to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (52%, odds 2.20 – longer than our fair 1.92, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vittoriosa Stars 0–1 Gudja United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vittoriosa Stars31%fair 3.21 · @2.40
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.50
Gudja United48%fair 2.09 · @2.45
2.24Expected goals
0.95Vittoriosa Stars xG
1.29Gudja United xG
46%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Vittoriosa Stars 1.0 – 1.3 Gudja United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gudja United to win✗
48%
2.09
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Gudja United (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Vittoriosa Stars +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
2.20 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Gudja United to score first✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gudja United / FT Gudja United✗
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.28
–
Recent results
Vittoriosa Stars – last 5
DWDDD
12 Sep
@ Santa Lucía
0–0
D
1 Apr
@ Mtarfa
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Mgarr United
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Santa Lucía
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Marsa
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Gudja United – last 4
LWDL
13 Sep
vs Melita
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Mtarfa
3–0
W
8 Mar
@ Marsa
3–3
D
21 Feb
vs Zurrieq
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vittoriosa Stars and Gudja United.
What is the prediction for Vittoriosa Stars vs Gudja United?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win Vittoriosa Stars vs Gudja United?
On our numbers Vittoriosa Stars have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gudja United 48%.
How many goals will there be in Vittoriosa Stars vs Gudja United?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vittoriosa Stars vs Gudja United?
Our predicted score is Vittoriosa Stars 0–1 Gudja United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Vittoriosa Stars vs Gudja United?
Vittoriosa Stars vs Gudja United (Challenge League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
