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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Naxxar Lions v Zebbug Rangers: numbers & prediction

3–1
FT
Naxxar Lions 70%Draw 21%Zebbug Rangers 9% Expected goals 2.84 – 1.12
71%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultNaxxar Lions to win ✓70% · @1.25
Double chanceNaxxar Lions or draw ✓91% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.61

Naxxar Lions vs Zebbug Rangers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Naxxar Lions welcome Zebbug Rangers for a Challenge League fixture on Sunday 20 September (17:00 WAT). In the table, Naxxar Lions are 3rd, among the top four, on 16 points after 7 matches; Zebbug Rangers are 10th (lower half) with 7.

Current form

Naxxar Lions, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Pietà Hotspurs, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Zebbug Rangers, last 4: LDWD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Fgura United, at home. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Momentum favours Zebbug Rangers, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Naxxar Lions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Naxxar Lions 2.8 xG, Zebbug Rangers 1.1 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Naxxar Lions 70%, draw 21%, Zebbug Rangers 9%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Naxxar Lions 2–1 Zebbug Rangers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Naxxar Lions70%fair 1.43 · @1.25
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @6.00
Zebbug Rangers9%fair 10.75 · @7.50
3.96Expected goals
2.84Naxxar Lions xG
1.12Zebbug Rangers xG
54%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
3–18%
2–08%
3–07%
1–16%
4–16%

From our goals model: Naxxar Lions 2.8 – 1.1 Zebbug Rangers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNaxxar Lions to win ✓70%1.431.25
Double chanceNaxxar Lions or draw ✓91%1.101.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.86–
Draw no betNaxxar Lions (draw no bet) ✓88%1.13–
Asian handicapNaxxar Lions -1 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71%1.411.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓56%1.79–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓64%1.57–
First team to scoreNaxxar Lions to score first ✓70%1.42–
Half-time resultNaxxar Lions ahead at half-time ✓55%1.81–
Half-time / full-timeHT Naxxar Lions / FT Naxxar Lions ✓50%1.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.61–

Recent results

Naxxar Lions – last 6

LLDDDD
12 Sep@ Pietà Hotspurs2–3L
10 Mayvs Mosta0–1L
15 Aprvs Valletta FC1–1D
4 Apr@ Gzira United1–1D
8 Mar@ Marsaxlokk1–1D
4 Mar@ Zurrieq1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Zebbug Rangers – last 4

LDWD
13 Sepvs Fgura United0–4L
15 Mar@ Zurrieq3–3D
1 Marvs Mtarfa6–0W
21 Feb@ Santa Lucía1–1D
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Naxxar Lions and Zebbug Rangers.

Naxxar Lions vs Zebbug Rangers head-to-head page →

Challenge League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tarxien Rainbows7610+919
2Swieqi United7511+516
3Naxxar Lions7511+516
4Fgura United7430+915
5Melita7412+513
6Pietà Hotspurs7403+212
7Mgarr United7313+110
8Zurrieq7313010
9Sirens7214-47
10Zebbug Rangers7214-67
11St. Andrews7214-77
12Attard7133-16
13Santa Lucía7061-26
14Vittoriosa Stars7133-36
15Victoria Hotspurs7205-36
16Gudja United7007-100

More Challenge League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Naxxar Lions vs Zebbug Rangers?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Naxxar Lions vs Zebbug Rangers?

On our numbers Naxxar Lions have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Zebbug Rangers 9%.

How many goals will there be in Naxxar Lions vs Zebbug Rangers?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Naxxar Lions vs Zebbug Rangers?

Our predicted score is Naxxar Lions 2–1 Zebbug Rangers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Naxxar Lions vs Zebbug Rangers?

Naxxar Lions vs Zebbug Rangers (Challenge League) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.