Value bet: Sirens to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNaxxar Lions to win ✓42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.57
Sirens vs Naxxar Lions: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:30 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Sirens v Naxxar Lions in the Challenge League. In the table, Sirens are 9th, lower half, on 7 points after 7 matches; Naxxar Lions are 3rd (among the top four) with 16.
Current form
Sirens, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Fgura United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Naxxar Lions, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Zebbug Rangers, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sirens 1.4 xG, Naxxar Lions 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sirens 38%, draw 21%, Naxxar Lions 42%.
Price worth noting: Sirens to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sirens 1–2 Naxxar Lions. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sirens38%fair 2.66 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.50
Naxxar Lions42%fair 2.41 · @2.00
2.97Expected goals
1.44Sirens xG
1.53Naxxar Lions xG
52%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Sirens 1.4 – 1.5 Naxxar Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Naxxar Lions to win✓
42%
2.41
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Draw no bet
Naxxar Lions (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Sirens +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Naxxar Lions to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Naxxar Lions / FT Naxxar Lions✗
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.57
–
Recent results
Sirens – last 6
DWLLLW
19 Sep
@ Fgura United
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Zurrieq
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Birzebbuga
2–3
L
12 Apr
vs Pietà Hotspurs
3–4
L
6 Apr
vs Balzan FC
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Fgura United
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Naxxar Lions – last 6
WLLDDD
20 Sep
vs Zebbug Rangers
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Pietà Hotspurs
2–3
L
10 May
vs Mosta
0–1
L
15 Apr
vs Valletta FC
1–1
D
4 Apr
@ Gzira United
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Marsaxlokk
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sirens and Naxxar Lions.
What is the prediction for Sirens vs Naxxar Lions?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Sirens vs Naxxar Lions?
On our numbers Sirens have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Naxxar Lions 42%.
How many goals will there be in Sirens vs Naxxar Lions?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sirens vs Naxxar Lions?
Our predicted score is Sirens 1–2 Naxxar Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Sirens vs Naxxar Lions?
Sirens vs Naxxar Lions (Challenge League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
