Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultNaxxar Lions to win ✓44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64% · @1.57
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.64
Naxxar Lions vs Victoria Hotspurs: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Sunday 18 October: Naxxar Lions v Victoria Hotspurs in the Challenge League. In the table, Naxxar Lions are 3rd, among the top four, on 16 points after 7 matches; Victoria Hotspurs are 15th (in the drop zone) with 6.
Current form
Naxxar Lions, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Sirens, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Victoria Hotspurs, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Fgura United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Victoria Hotspurs, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Naxxar Lions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Naxxar Lions 1.8 xG, Victoria Hotspurs 1.6 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 57% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Naxxar Lions 44%, draw 21%, Victoria Hotspurs 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Naxxar Lions 2–1 Victoria Hotspurs. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Naxxar Lions44%fair 2.27 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.60
Victoria Hotspurs35%fair 2.83 · @2.75
3.47Expected goals
1.84Naxxar Lions xG
1.63Victoria Hotspurs xG
57%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
2–05%
From our goals model: Naxxar Lions 1.8 – 1.6 Victoria Hotspurs expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Naxxar Lions to win✓
44%
2.27
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
–
Draw no bet
Naxxar Lions (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Victoria Hotspurs +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
First team to score
Naxxar Lions to score first✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.75
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Naxxar Lions / FT Naxxar Lions✓
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.64
–
Recent results
Naxxar Lions – last 6
WWLLDD
10 Oct
@ Sirens
3–2
W
20 Sep
vs Zebbug Rangers
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Pietà Hotspurs
2–3
L
10 May
vs Mosta
0–1
L
15 Apr
vs Valletta FC
1–1
D
4 Apr
@ Gzira United
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Victoria Hotspurs – last 3
LWW
10 Oct
vs Fgura United
0–3
L
19 Sep
@ Zurrieq
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs St. Andrews
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naxxar Lions and Victoria Hotspurs.
What is the prediction for Naxxar Lions vs Victoria Hotspurs?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Naxxar Lions vs Victoria Hotspurs?
On our numbers Naxxar Lions have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Victoria Hotspurs 35%.
How many goals will there be in Naxxar Lions vs Victoria Hotspurs?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naxxar Lions vs Victoria Hotspurs?
Our predicted score is Naxxar Lions 2–1 Victoria Hotspurs, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Naxxar Lions vs Victoria Hotspurs?
Naxxar Lions vs Victoria Hotspurs (Challenge League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
