Mgarr United 63%Draw 21%Zurrieq 16%Expected goals 1.77 – 0.75
84%
Betarazi pick
Mgarr United or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Mgarr United to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMgarr United to win ✗63% · @1.80
Double chanceMgarr United or draw ✗84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.00
Mgarr United vs Zurrieq: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 25 October the Challenge League brings Mgarr United against Zurrieq. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Mgarr United are 7th, upper half, on 10 points after 7 matches; Zurrieq are 8th (upper half) with 10. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Mgarr United, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over St. Andrews, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Zurrieq, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Gudja United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Mgarr United, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Zurrieq.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mgarr United 1.8 xG, Zurrieq 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mgarr United 63%, draw 21%, Zurrieq 16%.
Lower-risk option: Mgarr United or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Price worth noting: Mgarr United to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mgarr United or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mgarr United 1–0 Zurrieq. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mgarr United63%fair 1.60 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.60
Zurrieq16%fair 6.17 · @3.60
2.52Expected goals
1.77Mgarr United xG
0.75Zurrieq xG
46%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Mgarr United 1.8 – 0.7 Zurrieq expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mgarr United to win✗
63%
1.60
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Mgarr United or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
–
Draw no bet
Mgarr United (draw no bet)✗
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Mgarr United -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Mgarr United to score first✗
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Mgarr United ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mgarr United / FT Mgarr United✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.00
–
Recent results
Mgarr United – last 6
WWWLDD
17 Oct
@ St. Andrews
2–0
W
10 Oct
vs Vittoriosa Stars
2–0
W
19 Sep
@ Melita
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Tarxien Rainbows
1–3
L
6 Apr
vs Santa Lucía
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Vittoriosa Stars
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Zurrieq – last 6
WDLLWD
17 Oct
vs Gudja United
1–0
W
11 Oct
@ Santa Lucía
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Victoria Hotspurs
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Sirens
0–1
L
1 Apr
vs Marsa
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Zebbug Rangers
3–3
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mgarr United and Zurrieq.
What is the prediction for Mgarr United vs Zurrieq?
Our pick is Mgarr United or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mgarr United vs Zurrieq?
On our numbers Mgarr United have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Zurrieq 16%.
How many goals will there be in Mgarr United vs Zurrieq?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mgarr United vs Zurrieq?
Our predicted score is Mgarr United 1–0 Zurrieq, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Mgarr United vs Zurrieq?
Mgarr United vs Zurrieq (Challenge League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
