Sao Jose 59%Draw 22%Goiatuba EC 20%Expected goals 1.35 – 0.59
80%
Betarazi pick
Sao Jose or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Sao Jose to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSao Jose to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceSao Jose or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.17
Sao Jose vs Goiatuba EC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sao Jose welcome Goiatuba EC to Francisco Novelletto Neto for a Serie D fixture on Wednesday 26 August (23:00 WAT).
Current form
Sao Jose, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Gama, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Goiatuba EC, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with ASA, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Goiatuba EC, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Sao Jose.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sao Jose 1.3 xG, Goiatuba EC 0.6 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sao Jose 59%, draw 22%, Goiatuba EC 20%.
Lower-risk option: Sao Jose or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Sao Jose to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sao Jose or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sao Jose 1–0 Goiatuba EC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sao Jose59%fair 1.71 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.10
Goiatuba EC20%fair 5.07 · @3.50
1.94Expected goals
1.35Sao Jose xG
0.59Goiatuba EC xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
0–014%
2–013%
1–111%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Sao Jose 1.3 – 0.6 Goiatuba EC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sao Jose to win✗
59%
1.71
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Sao Jose or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.53
Draw no bet
Sao Jose (draw no bet)
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Goiatuba EC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
1.03
First team to score
Sao Jose to score first✗
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sao Jose / FT Sao Jose✗
33%
3.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.17
–
Recent results
Sao Jose – last 6
LDLWDW
16 Aug
@ Gama
0–4
L
8 Aug
vs Gama
1–1
D
26 Jul
@ Treze
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Treze
2–1
W
12 Jul
@ Portuguesa RJ
0–0
D
4 Jul
vs Portuguesa RJ
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Goiatuba EC – last 6
DDWWWL
16 Aug
@ ASA
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs ASA
0–0
D
26 Jul
@ Ferroviario
2–1
W
18 Jul
vs Ferroviario
3–0
W
12 Jul
@ Manauara
2–1
W
4 Jul
vs Manauara
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sao Jose and Goiatuba EC.
What is the prediction for Sao Jose vs Goiatuba EC?
Our pick is Sao Jose or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sao Jose vs Goiatuba EC?
On our numbers Sao Jose have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Goiatuba EC 20%.
How many goals will there be in Sao Jose vs Goiatuba EC?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sao Jose vs Goiatuba EC?
Our predicted score is Sao Jose 1–0 Goiatuba EC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Sao Jose vs Goiatuba EC?
Sao Jose vs Goiatuba EC (Serie D) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Francisco Novelletto Neto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil · Francisco Novelletto Neto
