Nacional AM 36%Draw 25%CSA 39%Expected goals 1.08 – 1.15
63%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 53% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCSA to win ✗39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.99
Nacional AM vs CSA: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
CSA travel to face Nacional AM on Friday 28 August in the Serie D – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT.
Current form
Nacional AM, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to ABC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
CSA, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Uberlandia, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nacional AM 1.1 xG, CSA 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 37%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nacional AM 36%, draw 25%, CSA 39%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nacional AM 1–1 CSA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nacional AM36%fair 2.79 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.80
CSA39%fair 2.54 · @2.75
2.24Expected goals
1.08Nacional AM xG
1.15CSA xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Nacional AM 1.1 – 1.2 CSA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CSA to win✗
39%
2.54
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
CSA (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Nacional AM +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.04
First team to score
CSA to score first
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CSA / FT CSA✗
21%
4.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.99
–
Recent results
Nacional AM – last 6
LLDDLW
16 Aug
@ ABC
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs ABC
1–2
L
25 Jul
@ Iguatu
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Iguatu
1–1
D
12 Jul
@ Capital Brasilia
0–1
L
4 Jul
vs Capital Brasilia
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
CSA – last 6
LLWDWL
15 Aug
vs Uberlandia
0–2
L
8 Aug
@ Uberlandia
0–1
L
26 Jul
vs São Luiz
2–1
W
19 Jul
@ São Luiz
0–0
D
14 Jul
vs Ipatinga
4–0
W
4 Jul
@ Ipatinga
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nacional AM and CSA.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Nacional AM vs CSA?
On our numbers Nacional AM have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and CSA 39%.
How many goals will there be in Nacional AM vs CSA?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nacional AM vs CSA?
Our predicted score is Nacional AM 1–1 CSA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Nacional AM vs CSA?
Nacional AM vs CSA (Serie D) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
