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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

CSA v Nacional AM: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil

CSA

LLLWD
0–0
FT
CSA 66%Draw 24%Nacional AM 10% Expected goals 1.84 – 0.58
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultCSA to win ✗66% · @1.48
Double chanceCSA or draw ✓90% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.11

CSA vs Nacional AM: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 4 September the Serie D brings CSA against Nacional AM. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT.

Current form

CSA, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Nacional AM, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Nacional AM, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over CSA, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Aug 2026) it ended Nacional AM 3–1 CSA.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give CSA 1.8 xG, Nacional AM 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – CSA 66%, draw 24%, Nacional AM 10%.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: CSA 1–0 Nacional AM. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

CSA66%fair 1.50 · @1.48
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.20
Nacional AM10%fair 10.49 · @7.00
2.42Expected goals
1.84CSA xG
0.58Nacional AM xG
47%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–015%
1–19%
3–09%
0–09%
2–19%

From our goals model: CSA 1.8 – 0.6 Nacional AM expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCSA to win ✗66%1.501.48
Double chanceCSA or draw ✓90%1.111.06
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.901.53
Draw no betCSA (draw no bet)87%1.14–
Asian handicapCSA -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗69%1.441.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.761.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.131.07
First team to scoreCSA to score first ✗69%1.44–
Half-time resultCSA ahead at half-time ✗47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT CSA / FT CSA ✗43%2.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.11–

Recent results

CSA – last 6

LLLWDW
28 Aug@ Nacional AM1–3L
15 Augvs Uberlandia0–2L
8 Aug@ Uberlandia0–1L
26 Julvs São Luiz2–1W
19 Jul@ São Luiz0–0D
14 Julvs Ipatinga4–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Nacional AM – last 6

WLLDDL
28 Augvs CSA3–1W
16 Aug@ ABC0–1L
8 Augvs ABC1–2L
25 Jul@ Iguatu1–1D
18 Julvs Iguatu1–1D
12 Jul@ Capital Brasilia0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Aug 2026Nacional AM v CSA3–1
CSA vs Nacional AM head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CSA vs Nacional AM?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win CSA vs Nacional AM?

On our numbers CSA have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nacional AM 10%.

How many goals will there be in CSA vs Nacional AM?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CSA vs Nacional AM?

Our predicted score is CSA 1–0 Nacional AM, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is CSA vs Nacional AM?

CSA vs Nacional AM (Serie D) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.