Elva vs Tallinna Kalev: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tallinna Kalev travel to face Elva on Thursday 24 September in the Cup, with Elva linnastaadion the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.
Current form
Elva, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC Tallinn, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Tallinna Kalev, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Flora II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Elva, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Tallinna Kalev.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Aug 2026) it ended Tallinna Kalev 1–0 Elva. The last 3 head-to-heads: Elva 1 win, Tallinna Kalev 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Elva 2.8 xG, Tallinna Kalev 3.0 xG – a total near 5.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 93% and GG at 69%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Elva 35%, draw 22%, Tallinna Kalev 44%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.44, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Elva 2–3 Tallinna Kalev. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Elva35%fair 2.89 · @2.80
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.25
Tallinna Kalev44%fair 2.28 · @2.15
5.80Expected goals
2.76Elva xG
3.04Tallinna Kalev xG
69%Both score
93%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–35%
2–25%
3–35%
3–25%
2–44%
1–34%
From our goals model: Elva 2.8 – 3.0 Tallinna Kalev expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Elva vs Tallinna Kalev?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Elva vs Tallinna Kalev?
On our numbers Elva have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tallinna Kalev 44%.
How many goals will there be in Elva vs Tallinna Kalev?
We expect about 5.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 93% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Elva vs Tallinna Kalev?
Our predicted score is Elva 2–3 Tallinna Kalev, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.8 goals in total.
When is Elva vs Tallinna Kalev?
Elva vs Tallinna Kalev (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Elva linnastaadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
