Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
2
Value bet: Union Comercio to win @ 2.70 – our chance 46% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUnion Comercio to win ✗46% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓62% · @1.65
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.45
Deportivo Llacuabamba vs Union Comercio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportivo Llacuabamba welcome Union Comercio for a Segunda División fixture on Sunday 30 August (19:00 WAT). In the table, Deportivo Llacuabamba are 3rd, among the top four, on 28 points after 16 matches; Union Comercio are 1st (leading the league) with 32.
Current form
Deportivo Llacuabamba, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Cesar Vallejo, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Union Comercio, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Carlos A. Mannucci, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Union Comercio 0–0 Deportivo Llacuabamba.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Llacuabamba 0.9 xG, Union Comercio 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Llacuabamba 31%, draw 23%, Union Comercio 46%.
Price worth noting: Union Comercio to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Llacuabamba 0–1 Union Comercio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Llacuabamba31%fair 3.24 · @2.35
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.10
Union Comercio46%fair 2.16 · @2.70
2.00Expected goals
0.85Deportivo Llacuabamba xG
1.15Union Comercio xG
43%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–014%
1–113%
1–012%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Deportivo Llacuabamba 0.9 – 1.1 Union Comercio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Llacuabamba vs Union Comercio?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Deportivo Llacuabamba vs Union Comercio?
On our numbers Deportivo Llacuabamba have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Union Comercio 46%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Llacuabamba vs Union Comercio?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Llacuabamba vs Union Comercio?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Llacuabamba 0–1 Union Comercio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Llacuabamba vs Union Comercio?
Deportivo Llacuabamba vs Union Comercio (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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