Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Waterford to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultWaterford to win ✓61% · @1.75
Double chanceWaterford or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Waterford vs Sligo Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sligo Rovers travel to face Waterford on Friday 4 September in the FAI Cup, with Regional Sports Centre the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT.
Current form
Waterford, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over St Patrick's Athl., away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Sligo Rovers, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Bohemians, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Waterford, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Sligo Rovers.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Aug 2026) it ended Sligo Rovers 0–0 Waterford. The last 3 head-to-heads: Waterford 1 win, Sligo Rovers 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.3 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Waterford 2.4 xG, Sligo Rovers 1.1 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Waterford 61%, draw 26%, Sligo Rovers 13%.
Lower-risk option: Waterford or draw (87%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Waterford to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Waterford or draw (87%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Waterford 2–1 Sligo Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Waterford61%fair 1.64 · @1.75
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.20
Sligo Rovers13%fair 7.78 · @4.20
3.50Expected goals
2.37Waterford xG
1.13Sligo Rovers xG
61%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–08%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Waterford 2.4 – 1.1 Sligo Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Waterford vs Sligo Rovers?
Our pick is Waterford or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Waterford vs Sligo Rovers?
On our numbers Waterford have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sligo Rovers 13%.
How many goals will there be in Waterford vs Sligo Rovers?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Waterford vs Sligo Rovers?
Our predicted score is Waterford 2–1 Sligo Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Waterford vs Sligo Rovers?
Waterford vs Sligo Rovers (FAI Cup) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Regional Sports Centre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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