Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Pakhtakor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:15 WAT, Monday 14 September: Al-Ahli Jeddah v Pakhtakor in the AFC Champions League, played at King Abdullah Sports City. In the table, Al-Ahli Jeddah are 6th, upper half, on 8 points after 4 matches; Pakhtakor are 14th (in the drop zone) with 2.
Current form
Al-Ahli Jeddah, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Al-Hazm, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Pakhtakor, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Olmaliq, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al-Ahli Jeddah 2.1 xG, Pakhtakor 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Ahli Jeddah 69%, draw 15%, Pakhtakor 16%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al-Ahli Jeddah to win (69%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Ahli Jeddah 2–0 Pakhtakor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al-Ahli Jeddah69%fair 1.45 · @1.25
Draw15%fair 6.46 · @5.80
Pakhtakor16%fair 6.35 · @10.00
3.00Expected goals
2.14Al-Ahli Jeddah xG
0.86Pakhtakor xG
56%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Al-Ahli Jeddah 2.1 – 0.9 Pakhtakor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Ahli Jeddah to win✗
69%
1.45
1.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
85%
1.18
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.75
Draw no bet
Al-Ahli Jeddah (draw no bet)
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Al-Ahli Jeddah -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Al-Ahli Jeddah to score first
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Al-Ahli Jeddah ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Ahli Jeddah / FT Al-Ahli Jeddah✗
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.21
–
Recent results
Al-Ahli Jeddah – last 6
WLWLLW
11 Sep
vs Al-Hazm
3–1
W
8 Sep
@ Al-Qadisiyah FC
2–3
L
4 Sep
vs Al Riyadh
5–0
W
1 Sep
@ Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0–3
L
29 Aug
@ Al Kholood
1–3
L
26 Aug
vs Auckland
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Pakhtakor – last 6
WWLDDW
9 Sep
@ Olmaliq
3–1
W
4 Sep
vs Andijan
3–0
W
29 Aug
@ Neftchi
0–1
L
25 Aug
@ Dinamo Samarqand
1–1
D
21 Aug
vs Surkhon
0–0
D
16 Aug
@ Nasaf
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Ahli Jeddah and Pakhtakor.
What is the prediction for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Pakhtakor?
Our pick is Al-Ahli Jeddah to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Pakhtakor?
On our numbers Al-Ahli Jeddah have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Pakhtakor 16%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Pakhtakor?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Pakhtakor?
Our predicted score is Al-Ahli Jeddah 2–0 Pakhtakor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Pakhtakor?
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Pakhtakor (AFC Champions League) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at King Abdullah Sports City.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
