Value bet: Not both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 55% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGamba Osaka to win ✓68% · @1.44
Double chanceGamba Osaka or draw ✓88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗28% · fair 3.58
Gamba Osaka vs Công An Nhân Dân: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gamba Osaka welcome Công An Nhân Dân to Panasonic Stadium Suita for a AFC Champions League fixture on Tuesday 15 September (11:00 WAT). In the table, Gamba Osaka are 3rd, among the top four, on 8 points after 4 matches; Công An Nhân Dân are 11th (lower half) with 4.
Current form
Gamba Osaka, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to FC Tokyo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Công An Nhân Dân, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Viettel, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Công An Nhân Dân, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.8 for Gamba Osaka.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gamba Osaka 1.3 xG, Công An Nhân Dân 0.2 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gamba Osaka 68%, draw 20%, Công An Nhân Dân 12%.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Not both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Gamba Osaka to win (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gamba Osaka 1–0 Công An Nhân Dân. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gamba Osaka68%fair 1.47 · @1.44
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @4.20
Công An Nhân Dân12%fair 8.11 · @6.00
1.50Expected goals
1.25Gamba Osaka xG
0.25Công An Nhân Dân xG
45%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–028%
0–022%
2–017%
3–07%
1–17%
0–16%
From our goals model: Gamba Osaka 1.3 – 0.2 Công An Nhân Dân expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gamba Osaka to win✓
68%
1.47
1.44
Double chance
Gamba Osaka or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Gamba Osaka (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Gamba Osaka -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
Gamba Osaka to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gamba Osaka / FT Gamba Osaka✓
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
28%
3.58
–
Recent results
Gamba Osaka – last 6
LLDDWL
12 Sep
vs FC Tokyo
0–2
L
6 Sep
@ JEF United Chiba
0–2
L
2 Sep
@ V-varen Nagasaki
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–0
D
26 Aug
vs Biwako Shiga
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ Nagoya Grampus
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Công An Nhân Dân – last 6
WWWWLW
10 Sep
@ Viettel
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh
2–0
W
30 Aug
vs Ho Chi Minh
5–0
W
11 Aug
@ Adelaide United
2–0
W
7 Jun
@ Viettel
0–1
L
31 May
vs Binh Duong
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gamba Osaka and Công An Nhân Dân.
What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka vs Công An Nhân Dân?
Our pick is Gamba Osaka to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Gamba Osaka vs Công An Nhân Dân?
On our numbers Gamba Osaka have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Công An Nhân Dân 12%.
How many goals will there be in Gamba Osaka vs Công An Nhân Dân?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gamba Osaka vs Công An Nhân Dân?
Our predicted score is Gamba Osaka 1–0 Công An Nhân Dân, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Gamba Osaka vs Công An Nhân Dân?
Gamba Osaka vs Công An Nhân Dân (AFC Champions League) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Panasonic Stadium Suita.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Al Ain4
Al-Nassr0