SHANGHAI SIPG 60%Draw 21%Công An Nhân Dân 20%Expected goals 2.54 – 1.46
80%
Betarazi pick
SHANGHAI SIPG or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: SHANGHAI SIPG to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSHANGHAI SIPG to win ✗60% · @1.80
Double chanceSHANGHAI SIPG or draw ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.59
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Công An Nhân Dân: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Công An Nhân Dân travel to face SHANGHAI SIPG on Tuesday 27 October in the AFC Champions League, with Shanghai Pudong Football Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, SHANGHAI SIPG are 5th, upper half, on 7 points after 4 matches; Công An Nhân Dân are 11th (lower half) with 4. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
SHANGHAI SIPG, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Tianjin Teda, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Công An Nhân Dân, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Thanh Hóa, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours SHANGHAI SIPG, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Công An Nhân Dân.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SHANGHAI SIPG 2.5 xG, Công An Nhân Dân 1.5 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SHANGHAI SIPG 60%, draw 21%, Công An Nhân Dân 20%.
Lower-risk option: SHANGHAI SIPG or draw (80%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: SHANGHAI SIPG to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was SHANGHAI SIPG or draw (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: SHANGHAI SIPG 2–1 Công An Nhân Dân. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SHANGHAI SIPG60%fair 1.67 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.70
Công An Nhân Dân20%fair 5.08 · @3.80
4.00Expected goals
2.54SHANGHAI SIPG xG
1.46Công An Nhân Dân xG
66%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: SHANGHAI SIPG 2.5 – 1.5 Công An Nhân Dân expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SHANGHAI SIPG to win✗
60%
1.67
1.80 ▲
Double chance
SHANGHAI SIPG or draw✗
80%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.50
1.55
Draw no bet
SHANGHAI SIPG (draw no bet)✗
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
SHANGHAI SIPG -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
SHANGHAI SIPG to score first
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
SHANGHAI SIPG ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SHANGHAI SIPG / FT SHANGHAI SIPG✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.59
–
Recent results
SHANGHAI SIPG – last 6
WWDWWD
24 Oct
@ Tianjin Teda
3–1
W
18 Oct
vs Chengdu Better City
3–0
W
13 Oct
vs Daejeon Citizen
1–1
D
9 Oct
@ Hangzhou Greentown
4–2
W
15 Sep
@ Ratchaburi
6–4
W
5 Sep
vs Beijing Guoan
0–0
D
2.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Công An Nhân Dân – last 6
DLLWWL
22 Oct
vs Thanh Hóa
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Ha Noi
1–2
L
13 Oct
vs Kashima
0–1
L
8 Oct
@ Home United
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Bình Phước
3–0
W
15 Sep
@ Gamba Osaka
1–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SHANGHAI SIPG and Công An Nhân Dân.
What is the prediction for SHANGHAI SIPG vs Công An Nhân Dân?
Our pick is SHANGHAI SIPG or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win SHANGHAI SIPG vs Công An Nhân Dân?
On our numbers SHANGHAI SIPG have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Công An Nhân Dân 20%.
How many goals will there be in SHANGHAI SIPG vs Công An Nhân Dân?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SHANGHAI SIPG vs Công An Nhân Dân?
Our predicted score is SHANGHAI SIPG 2–1 Công An Nhân Dân, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is SHANGHAI SIPG vs Công An Nhân Dân?
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Công An Nhân Dân (AFC Champions League) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Shanghai Pudong Football Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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