Buriram United 26%Draw 21%Kashima 52%Expected goals 1.18 – 1.77
64%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Kashima to win @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKashima to win ✗52% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.34
Buriram United vs Kashima: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:15 WAT, Wednesday 4 November: Buriram United v Kashima in the AFC Champions League, played at Chang Arena. In the table, Buriram United are 12th, lower half, on 3 points after 4 matches; Kashima are 2nd (among the top four) with 10.
Current form
Buriram United, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gamba Osaka, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Kashima, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Cerezo Osaka, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Buriram United 1.2 xG, Kashima 1.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Buriram United 26%, draw 21%, Kashima 52%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Kashima to win @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Buriram United 1–1 Kashima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Buriram United26%fair 3.78 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.50
Kashima52%fair 1.91 · @2.15
2.94Expected goals
1.18Buriram United xG
1.77Kashima xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Buriram United 1.2 – 1.8 Kashima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kashima to win✗
52%
1.91
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.67
Draw no bet
Kashima (draw no bet)
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Buriram United +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.20
First team to score
Kashima to score first✗
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kashima / FT Kashima✗
31%
3.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.34
–
Recent results
Buriram United – last 6
DLWWLW
28 Oct
@ Gamba Osaka
1–1
D
24 Oct
vs Sisaket United
2–3
L
21 Oct
vs DPU Thayang FC
8–0
W
18 Oct
@ Pattani
1–0
W
13 Oct
vs Beijing Guoan
0–1
L
10 Oct
vs Rayong FC
3–2
W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kashima – last 6
WWLDWW
31 Oct
vs Cerezo Osaka
4–1
W
28 Oct
vs Pohang Steelers
3–0
W
24 Oct
vs Kashiwa Reysol
2–3
L
21 Oct
@ Kyoto Sanga
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs V-varen Nagasaki
2–0
W
13 Oct
@ Công An Nhân Dân
1–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Buriram United and Kashima.
What is the prediction for Buriram United vs Kashima?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Buriram United vs Kashima?
On our numbers Buriram United have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kashima 52%.
How many goals will there be in Buriram United vs Kashima?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Buriram United vs Kashima?
Our predicted score is Buriram United 1–1 Kashima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Buriram United vs Kashima?
Buriram United vs Kashima (AFC Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at Chang Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
