Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVietnam to win ✓43% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.37
Thailand vs Vietnam: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Saturday 22 August: Thailand v Vietnam in the ASEAN Championship, played at Rajamangala Stadium.
Current form
Thailand, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Singapore, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Vietnam, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Malaysia, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Thailand 1.2 xG, Vietnam 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Thailand 34%, draw 23%, Vietnam 43%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Thailand 1–1 Vietnam. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Thailand34%fair 2.97 · @2.95
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.10
Vietnam43%fair 2.32 · @2.30
2.65Expected goals
1.22Thailand xG
1.43Vietnam xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Thailand 1.2 – 1.4 Vietnam expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vietnam to win✓
43%
2.32
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Vietnam (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Thailand +1 (Asian handicap)✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Vietnam to score first✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vietnam / FT Vietnam✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.37
–
Recent results
Thailand – last 6
LWWWWW
18 Aug
vs Singapore
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Singapore
3–1
W
8 Aug
vs Myanmar
2–0
W
4 Aug
@ Philippines
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Malaysia
2–0
W
25 Jul
@ Laos
5–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vietnam – last 6
WWWWDW
19 Aug
vs Malaysia
2–0
W
16 Aug
@ Malaysia
2–0
W
7 Aug
vs Cambodia
3–1
W
3 Aug
@ Indonesia
3–0
W
31 Jul
vs Singapore
0–0
D
24 Jul
@ Timor-Leste
7–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Thailand and Vietnam.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Thailand vs Vietnam?
On our numbers Thailand have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vietnam 43%.
How many goals will there be in Thailand vs Vietnam?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Thailand vs Vietnam?
Our predicted score is Thailand 1–1 Vietnam, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Thailand vs Vietnam?
Thailand vs Vietnam (ASEAN Championship) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Rajamangala Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
