Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Vietnam to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVietnam to win ✗61% · @1.75
Double chanceVietnam or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Vietnam vs Thailand: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 26 August the ASEAN Championship brings Vietnam against Thailand at My Dinh National Stadium. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT.
Current form
Vietnam, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Thailand, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Thailand, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Vietnam, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Vietnam, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.0 for Thailand.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Aug 2026) it ended Thailand 0–2 Vietnam.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vietnam 1.9 xG, Thailand 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vietnam 61%, draw 26%, Thailand 13%.
Lower-risk option: Vietnam or draw (87%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Vietnam to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Vietnam or draw (87%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vietnam 1–0 Thailand. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vietnam61%fair 1.63 · @1.75
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.20
Thailand13%fair 7.56 · @4.00
2.79Expected goals
1.95Vietnam xG
0.84Thailand xG
51%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Vietnam 1.9 – 0.8 Thailand expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Vietnam or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Vietnam vs Thailand?
On our numbers Vietnam have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Thailand 13%.
How many goals will there be in Vietnam vs Thailand?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vietnam vs Thailand?
Our predicted score is Vietnam 1–0 Thailand, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Vietnam vs Thailand?
Vietnam vs Thailand (ASEAN Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at My Dinh National Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
