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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Zimbru v Sheriff Tiraspol: numbers & prediction

Super Liga · Moldova · Stadionul Zimbru

Zimbru

WWLWL
2–1
FT
Zimbru 37%Draw 22%Sheriff Tiraspol 41% Expected goals 1.40 – 1.47
51%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.96 · bookmaker 2.00 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
2.00Odds
2

Value bet: Sheriff Tiraspol to win @ 2.60 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSheriff Tiraspol to win ✗41% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗3% · fair 33.19

Zimbru vs Sheriff Tiraspol: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Zimbru welcome Sheriff Tiraspol to Stadionul Zimbru for a Super Liga fixture on Saturday 29 August (18:00 WAT). In the table, Zimbru are 2nd, among the top four, on 35 points after 18 matches; Sheriff Tiraspol are 1st (leading the league) with 39.

Current form

Zimbru, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over CSF Bălți, away. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Sheriff Tiraspol, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Politehnica UTM, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Jul 2026) it ended Sheriff Tiraspol 4–2 Zimbru. The last 2 head-to-heads: Zimbru 0 wins, Sheriff Tiraspol 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 5.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Zimbru 1.4 xG, Sheriff Tiraspol 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Zimbru 37%, draw 22%, Sheriff Tiraspol 41%.
  • Price worth noting: Sheriff Tiraspol to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (51%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.96, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zimbru 1–2 Sheriff Tiraspol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Zimbru37%fair 2.67 · @2.35
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Sheriff Tiraspol41%fair 2.45 · @2.60
2.87Expected goals
1.40Zimbru xG
1.47Sheriff Tiraspol xG
50%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%

From our goals model: Zimbru 1.4 – 1.5 Sheriff Tiraspol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSheriff Tiraspol to win ✗41%2.452.60 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%1.98–
Draw no betSheriff Tiraspol (draw no bet) ✗52%1.92–
Asian handicapZimbru +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.962.00
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
First team to scoreSheriff Tiraspol to score first ✗48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.45–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sheriff Tiraspol / FT Sheriff Tiraspol ✗23%4.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗3%33.19–

Recent results

Zimbru – last 6

WWLWLW
22 Aug@ CSF Bălți4–0W
16 Augvs Milsami Orhei4–2W
9 Augvs Petrocub1–2L
2 Aug@ Dacia-Buiucani4–0W
30 Jul@ FC Noah1–2L
26 Jul@ Politehnica UTM2–0W
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Sheriff Tiraspol – last 6

WDLWLW
23 Augvs Politehnica UTM4–0W
16 Aug@ Sireți1–1D
13 Aug@ FC ST. Gallen1–5L
9 Augvs Dacia-Buiucani1–0W
6 Augvs FC ST. Gallen1–3L
2 Aug@ CSF Bălți5–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Jul 2026Sheriff Tiraspol v Zimbru4–2
5 Apr 2026Zimbru v Sheriff Tiraspol2–2
Zimbru vs Sheriff Tiraspol head-to-head page →

Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sheriff Tiraspol181161+2939
2Zimbru181053+2335
3Petrocub18963+1833
4Dacia-Buiucani18837+127
5Milsami Orhei18675+125
6Politehnica UTM18549-319
7Sireți18279-1513
8CSF Bălți181215-545

More Super Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zimbru vs Sheriff Tiraspol?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.

Who will win Zimbru vs Sheriff Tiraspol?

On our numbers Zimbru have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sheriff Tiraspol 41%.

How many goals will there be in Zimbru vs Sheriff Tiraspol?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Zimbru vs Sheriff Tiraspol?

Our predicted score is Zimbru 1–2 Sheriff Tiraspol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Zimbru vs Sheriff Tiraspol?

Zimbru vs Sheriff Tiraspol (Super Liga) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Zimbru.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.