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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Politehnica UTM v Sheriff Tiraspol: numbers & prediction

Super Liga · Moldova
0–2
FT
Politehnica UTM 16%Draw 17%Sheriff Tiraspol 67% Expected goals 1.02 – 2.29
64%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultSheriff Tiraspol to win ✓67% · @1.22
Double chanceSheriff Tiraspol or draw ✓84% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.24

Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 24 October the Super Liga brings Politehnica UTM against Sheriff Tiraspol. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Politehnica UTM are 6th, in the drop zone, on 19 points after 18 matches; Sheriff Tiraspol are 1st (leading the league) with 39. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Politehnica UTM, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over CSF Bălți, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Sheriff Tiraspol, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sireți, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Sheriff Tiraspol, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Politehnica UTM.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Aug 2026) it ended Sheriff Tiraspol 4–0 Politehnica UTM. The last 2 head-to-heads: Politehnica UTM 0 wins, Sheriff Tiraspol 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Politehnica UTM 1.0 xG, Sheriff Tiraspol 2.3 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Politehnica UTM 16%, draw 17%, Sheriff Tiraspol 67%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Politehnica UTM 1–2 Sheriff Tiraspol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Politehnica UTM16%fair 6.14 · @8.50
Draw17%fair 5.81 · @5.50
Sheriff Tiraspol67%fair 1.50 · @1.22
3.31Expected goals
1.02Politehnica UTM xG
2.29Sheriff Tiraspol xG
53%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
0–210%
1–19%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%

From our goals model: Politehnica UTM 1.0 – 2.3 Sheriff Tiraspol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSheriff Tiraspol to win ✓67%1.501.22
Double chanceSheriff Tiraspol or draw ✓84%1.191.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.89–
Draw no betSheriff Tiraspol (draw no bet) ✓80%1.24–
Asian handicapSheriff Tiraspol -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64%1.551.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
First team to scoreSheriff Tiraspol to score first ✓67%1.50–
Half-time resultSheriff Tiraspol ahead at half-time ✓49%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sheriff Tiraspol / FT Sheriff Tiraspol ✓43%2.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.24–

Recent results

Politehnica UTM – last 6

WDLLWD
18 Oct@ CSF Bălți4–1W
11 Oct@ Milsami Orhei3–3D
19 Sepvs Petrocub0–1L
12 Sep@ Zimbru1–2L
5 Sepvs Dacia-Buiucani2–1W
29 Augvs Sireți0–0D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Sheriff Tiraspol – last 6

WWWWDL
17 Octvs Sireți2–0W
10 Oct@ Dacia-Buiucani5–2W
20 Sepvs CSF Bălți7–0W
13 Sep@ Milsami Orhei1–0W
5 Sepvs Petrocub2–2D
29 Aug@ Zimbru1–2L
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Aug 2026Sheriff Tiraspol v Politehnica UTM4–0
4 Jul 2026Politehnica UTM v Sheriff Tiraspol0–0
Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol head-to-head page →

Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sheriff Tiraspol181161+2939
2Zimbru181053+2335
3Petrocub18963+1833
4Dacia-Buiucani18837+127
5Milsami Orhei18675+125
6Politehnica UTM18549-319
7Sireți18279-1513
8CSF Bălți181215-545

More Super Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol?

On our numbers Politehnica UTM have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Sheriff Tiraspol 67%.

How many goals will there be in Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol?

Our predicted score is Politehnica UTM 1–2 Sheriff Tiraspol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol?

Politehnica UTM vs Sheriff Tiraspol (Super Liga) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.