Real 64%Draw 20%Farroupilha 16%Expected goals 1.99 – 0.85
64%
Betarazi pick
Real to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultReal to win ✓64% · @1.53
Double chanceReal or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8% · fair 13.06
Real vs Farroupilha: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Wednesday 30 September: Real v Farroupilha in the Gaúcho 3.
Current form
Real, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC Serpa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Farroupilha, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cruz A., at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Real, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Farroupilha.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real 2.0 xG, Farroupilha 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real 64%, draw 20%, Farroupilha 16%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Real to win (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real 1–0 Farroupilha. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real64%fair 1.55 · @1.53
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @4.00
Farroupilha16%fair 6.39 · @4.75
2.84Expected goals
1.99Real xG
0.85Farroupilha xG
48%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Real 2.0 – 0.9 Farroupilha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real to win✓
64%
1.55
1.53
Double chance
Real or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Draw no bet
Real (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Real -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Real to score first✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Real ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real / FT Real✓
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
8%
13.06
–
Recent results
Real – last 6
DWLDWW
26 Sep
vs FC Serpa
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Cruz A.
3–0
W
18 Sep
vs Academica
1–4
L
13 Sep
vs Lajense
5–5
D
12 Sep
vs FBC Riograndense RS
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Amora
1–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Farroupilha – last 6
WLWLLD
26 Sep
vs Cruz A.
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Futebol Com Vida
0–2
L
6 Sep
@ Clube 1992
2–1
W
17 Jun
vs Bagé
1–2
L
10 Jun
@ Brasil DE Pelotas
0–4
L
3 Jun
vs Guarany de Bagé
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real and Farroupilha.
Our pick is Real to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Real vs Farroupilha?
On our numbers Real have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Farroupilha 16%.
How many goals will there be in Real vs Farroupilha?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real vs Farroupilha?
Our predicted score is Real 1–0 Farroupilha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Real vs Farroupilha?
Real vs Farroupilha (Gaúcho 3) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
