Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.36Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 2.75 – our chance 55% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +50%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✗55% · @2.75
Double chanceMuharraq or draw ✗79% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗6% · fair 15.89
Arkadag vs Muharraq: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Arkadag welcome Muharraq for a AFC Cup fixture on Tuesday 15 September (14:45 WAT). In the table, Arkadag are 2nd on 7 points after 4 matches; Muharraq are 3rd with 3.
Current form
Arkadag, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Nebitci, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Muharraq, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Manama, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Arkadag, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.2 for Muharraq.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arkadag 1.5 xG, Muharraq 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arkadag 21%, draw 55%, Muharraq 24%.
Lower-risk option: Muharraq or draw (79%) at 1.36.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Draw @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Muharraq or draw (79%, odds 1.36 – longer than our fair 1.27, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arkadag 1–1 Muharraq. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arkadag21%fair 4.70 · @2.80
Draw55%fair 1.83 · @2.75
Muharraq24%fair 4.13 · @2.40
3.00Expected goals
1.47Arkadag xG
1.53Muharraq xG
54%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Arkadag 1.5 – 1.5 Muharraq expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
55%
1.83
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Muharraq or draw✗
79%
1.27
1.36 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.85
Draw no bet
Muharraq (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Arkadag +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Muharraq to score first✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Muharraq / FT Muharraq✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–2✗
6%
15.89
–
Recent results
Arkadag – last 6
WWWWWD
5 Sep
@ Nebitci
4–2
W
30 Aug
vs Şagadam
3–0
W
22 Aug
@ Altyn Asyr
5–2
W
16 Aug
vs Ahal
2–1
W
12 Aug
vs Goa
3–0
W
20 Jun
vs Köpetdag Aşgabat
0–0
D
2.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Muharraq – last 6
WLDWWW
10 Sep
vs Manama
3–1
W
4 Sep
@ Al Ittifaq Maqaba
0–1
L
28 Aug
vs Al Ahli
1–1
D
11 May
@ Khalidiya
2–1
W
4 May
@ Al Najma
3–1
W
29 Apr
vs Budaiya
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arkadag and Muharraq.
Our pick is Muharraq or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Arkadag vs Muharraq?
On our numbers Arkadag have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 55% and Muharraq 24%.
How many goals will there be in Arkadag vs Muharraq?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arkadag vs Muharraq?
Our predicted score is Arkadag 1–1 Muharraq, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Arkadag vs Muharraq?
Arkadag vs Muharraq (AFC Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
