Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultGangwon FC to win ✗59% · @1.57
Double chanceGangwon FC or draw ✗82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗25% · fair 4.05
Gangwon FC vs Phnom Penh Crown: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Thursday 15 October: Gangwon FC v Phnom Penh Crown in the AFC Cup, played at Gangneung Stadium. In the table, Gangwon FC are 4th on 4 points after 4 matches; Phnom Penh Crown are 1st with 9.
Current form
Gangwon FC, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Bucheon FC 1995, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Phnom Penh Crown, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Kuching FA, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Phnom Penh Crown, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Gangwon FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gangwon FC 1.1 xG, Phnom Penh Crown 0.4 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gangwon FC 59%, draw 23%, Phnom Penh Crown 18%.
Lower-risk option: Gangwon FC or draw (82%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Gangwon FC to win (59%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gangwon FC 1–0 Phnom Penh Crown. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gangwon FC59%fair 1.70 · @1.57
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.50
Phnom Penh Crown18%fair 5.50 · @4.80
1.50Expected goals
1.11Gangwon FC xG
0.39Phnom Penh Crown xG
44%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–025%
0–022%
2–014%
1–110%
0–19%
2–15%
From our goals model: Gangwon FC 1.1 – 0.4 Phnom Penh Crown expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gangwon FC to win✗
59%
1.70
1.57
Double chance
Gangwon FC or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.75
Draw no bet
Gangwon FC (draw no bet)✗
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Phnom Penh Crown +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
Gangwon FC to score first✗
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
56%
1.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gangwon FC / FT Gangwon FC✗
31%
3.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
25%
4.05
–
Recent results
Gangwon FC – last 6
WDLDDD
9 Oct
vs Bucheon FC 1995
2–0
W
27 Sep
vs Incheon United
0–0
D
20 Sep
vs Jeju United FC
0–1
L
17 Sep
@ Kitchee
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ Gimcheon Sangmu FC
2–2
D
9 Sep
vs Jeonbuk Motors
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Phnom Penh Crown – last 6
WDDWWL
17 Sep
vs Kuching FA
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Angkor Tiger
2–2
D
5 Sep
vs NagaWorld
2–2
D
17 May
@ Svay Rieng
2–1
W
10 May
vs NagaWorld
3–0
W
3 May
@ Boeung Ket
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gangwon FC and Phnom Penh Crown.
What is the prediction for Gangwon FC vs Phnom Penh Crown?
Our pick is Gangwon FC to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Gangwon FC vs Phnom Penh Crown?
On our numbers Gangwon FC have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Phnom Penh Crown 18%.
How many goals will there be in Gangwon FC vs Phnom Penh Crown?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gangwon FC vs Phnom Penh Crown?
Our predicted score is Gangwon FC 1–0 Phnom Penh Crown, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Gangwon FC vs Phnom Penh Crown?
Gangwon FC vs Phnom Penh Crown (AFC Cup) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Gangneung Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.