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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gangwon FC v Phnom Penh Crown: numbers & prediction

AFC Cup · Asia · Gangneung Stadium
1–2
FT
Gangwon FC 59%Draw 23%Phnom Penh Crown 18% Expected goals 1.11 – 0.39
59%
Betarazi pick

Gangwon FC to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultGangwon FC to win ✗59% · @1.57
Double chanceGangwon FC or draw ✗82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗25% · fair 4.05

Gangwon FC vs Phnom Penh Crown: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:00 WAT, Thursday 15 October: Gangwon FC v Phnom Penh Crown in the AFC Cup, played at Gangneung Stadium. In the table, Gangwon FC are 4th on 4 points after 4 matches; Phnom Penh Crown are 1st with 9.

Current form

Gangwon FC, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Bucheon FC 1995, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Phnom Penh Crown, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Kuching FA, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Phnom Penh Crown, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Gangwon FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gangwon FC 1.1 xG, Phnom Penh Crown 0.4 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gangwon FC 59%, draw 23%, Phnom Penh Crown 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Gangwon FC or draw (82%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Gangwon FC to win (59%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gangwon FC 1–0 Phnom Penh Crown. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gangwon FC59%fair 1.70 · @1.57
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.50
Phnom Penh Crown18%fair 5.50 · @4.80
1.50Expected goals
1.11Gangwon FC xG
0.39Phnom Penh Crown xG
44%Both score
19%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–025%
0–022%
2–014%
1–110%
0–19%
2–15%

From our goals model: Gangwon FC 1.1 – 0.4 Phnom Penh Crown expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGangwon FC to win ✗59%1.701.57
Double chanceGangwon FC or draw ✗82%1.221.15
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗56%1.771.75
Draw no betGangwon FC (draw no bet) ✗76%1.31–
Asian handicapPhnom Penh Crown +1 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗56%1.79–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81%1.24–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓98%1.02–
First team to scoreGangwon FC to score first ✗57%1.74–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗56%1.78–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gangwon FC / FT Gangwon FC ✗31%3.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗25%4.05–

Recent results

Gangwon FC – last 6

WDLDDD
9 Octvs Bucheon FC 19952–0W
27 Sepvs Incheon United0–0D
20 Sepvs Jeju United FC0–1L
17 Sep@ Kitchee0–0D
13 Sep@ Gimcheon Sangmu FC2–2D
9 Sepvs Jeonbuk Motors1–1D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Phnom Penh Crown – last 6

WDDWWL
17 Sepvs Kuching FA2–1W
12 Sep@ Angkor Tiger2–2D
5 Sepvs NagaWorld2–2D
17 May@ Svay Rieng2–1W
10 Mayvs NagaWorld3–0W
3 May@ Boeung Ket0–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Gangwon FC and Phnom Penh Crown.

Gangwon FC vs Phnom Penh Crown head-to-head page →

AFC Cup table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Phnom Penh Crown4301+39
2Kitchee4121-15
3Kuching FA411204
4Gangwon FC4112-24

More AFC Cup predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gangwon FC vs Phnom Penh Crown?

Our pick is Gangwon FC to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Gangwon FC vs Phnom Penh Crown?

On our numbers Gangwon FC have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Phnom Penh Crown 18%.

How many goals will there be in Gangwon FC vs Phnom Penh Crown?

We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gangwon FC vs Phnom Penh Crown?

Our predicted score is Gangwon FC 1–0 Phnom Penh Crown, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.

When is Gangwon FC vs Phnom Penh Crown?

Gangwon FC vs Phnom Penh Crown (AFC Cup) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Gangneung Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.