Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: MOIK to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMOIK to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceMOIK or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.52
MOIK vs Şimal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
MOIK welcome Şimal for a Birinci Dasta fixture on Friday 11 September (13:30 WAT). In the table, MOIK are 3rd, among the top four, on 14 points after 7 matches; Şimal are 6th (lower half) with 8.
Current form
MOIK, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Şahdağ, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Şimal, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cəbrayıl, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (6 May 2026) it ended Şimal 1–1 MOIK.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give MOIK 1.4 xG, Şimal 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – MOIK 58%, draw 22%, Şimal 20%.
Lower-risk option: MOIK or draw (80%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: MOIK to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was MOIK or draw (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: MOIK 1–0 Şimal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
MOIK58%fair 1.71 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.30
Şimal20%fair 5.09 · @3.50
2.00Expected goals
1.38MOIK xG
0.62Şimal xG
51%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
0–014%
2–013%
1–112%
0–18%
2–18%
From our goals model: MOIK 1.4 – 0.6 Şimal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is MOIK or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win MOIK vs Şimal?
On our numbers MOIK have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Şimal 20%.
How many goals will there be in MOIK vs Şimal?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MOIK vs Şimal?
Our predicted score is MOIK 1–0 Şimal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is MOIK vs Şimal?
MOIK vs Şimal (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
