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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Karvan v Zaqatala: numbers & prediction

Birinci Dasta · Azerbaidjan · Yevlakh City Stadium

Karvan

LWDLL
3–0
FT
Karvan 66%Draw 19%Zaqatala 15% Expected goals 2.08 – 0.85
66%
Betarazi pick

Karvan to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.48Odds

Picks by market

ResultKarvan to win ✓66% · @1.48
Double chanceKarvan or draw ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓8% · fair 12.53

Karvan vs Zaqatala: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Karvan welcome Zaqatala to Yevlakh City Stadium for a Birinci Dasta fixture on Wednesday 16 September (13:30 WAT). In the table, Karvan are 4th, among the top four, on 13 points after 7 matches; Zaqatala are 8th (in the drop zone) with 5.

Current form

Karvan, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Şahdağ, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Zaqatala, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Baku Sportinq, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Zaqatala, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Karvan.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Karvan 2.1 xG, Zaqatala 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 50% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Karvan 66%, draw 19%, Zaqatala 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Karvan or draw (85%) at 1.14.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Karvan to win (66%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Karvan 2–0 Zaqatala. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Karvan66%fair 1.51 · @1.48
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @3.90
Zaqatala15%fair 6.76 · @5.25
2.93Expected goals
2.08Karvan xG
0.85Zaqatala xG
50%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Karvan 2.1 – 0.9 Zaqatala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKarvan to win ✓66%1.511.48
Double chanceKarvan or draw ✓85%1.171.14
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%1.98–
Draw no betKarvan (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapKarvan -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.811.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scoreKarvan to score first ✓67%1.49–
Half-time resultKarvan ahead at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Karvan / FT Karvan ✓43%2.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓8%12.53–

Recent results

Karvan – last 6

LWDLLL
9 Sep@ Şahdağ0–2L
3 Sep@ Baku Sportinq3–0W
24 May@ Imisli FK1–1D
10 May@ Turan0–1L
5 Mayvs Neftchi Baku0–3L
27 Apr@ Sabah FA0–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Zaqatala – last 6

WDWLLL
10 Sepvs Baku Sportinq3–0W
4 Sep@ Mingəçevir2–2D
22 Mayvs Safa Baku2–1W
6 Mayvs Səbail0–3L
29 Apr@ Mingəçevir1–7L
22 Aprvs Şahdağ0–1L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Karvan and Zaqatala.

Karvan vs Zaqatala head-to-head page →

Birinci Dasta table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cəbrayıl7511+1316
2Şahdağ6501+1215
3MOIK7421+814
4Karvan7412+613
5Səbail7331+312
6Şimal7223-18
7Xankəndi FK7133-36
8Zaqatala7124-155
9Mingəçevir6114-94
10Baku Sportinq7016-141

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Karvan vs Zaqatala?

Our pick is Karvan to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Karvan vs Zaqatala?

On our numbers Karvan have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Zaqatala 15%.

How many goals will there be in Karvan vs Zaqatala?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Karvan vs Zaqatala?

Our predicted score is Karvan 2–0 Zaqatala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Karvan vs Zaqatala?

Karvan vs Zaqatala (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Yevlakh City Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.