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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Şahdağ v Zaqatala: numbers & prediction

Birinci Dasta · Azerbaidjan
6–0
FT
Şahdağ 67%Draw 20%Zaqatala 13% Expected goals 2.14 – 0.86
67%
Betarazi pick

Şahdağ to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultŞahdağ to win ✓67% · @1.44
Double chanceŞahdağ or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.21

Şahdağ vs Zaqatala: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Şahdağ welcome Zaqatala for a Birinci Dasta fixture on Wednesday 7 October (12:30 WAT). In the table, Şahdağ are 2nd, among the top four, on 15 points after 6 matches; Zaqatala are 8th (in the drop zone) with 5.

Current form

Şahdağ, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Şimal, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Zaqatala, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Karvan, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Şahdağ, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for Zaqatala.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Apr 2026) it ended Zaqatala 0–1 Şahdağ. The last 2 head-to-heads: Şahdağ 2 wins, Zaqatala 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Şahdağ 2.1 xG, Zaqatala 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Şahdağ 67%, draw 20%, Zaqatala 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Şahdağ to win (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Şahdağ 2–0 Zaqatala. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Şahdağ67%fair 1.50 · @1.44
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.75
Zaqatala13%fair 7.44 · @5.80
3.00Expected goals
2.14Şahdağ xG
0.86Zaqatala xG
55%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Şahdağ 2.1 – 0.9 Zaqatala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultŞahdağ to win ✓67%1.501.44
Double chanceŞahdağ or draw ✓87%1.161.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.821.91
Draw no betŞahdağ (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapŞahdağ -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗82%1.23–
First team to scoreŞahdağ to score first ✓68%1.47–
Half-time resultŞahdağ ahead at half-time ✓49%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Şahdağ / FT Şahdağ ✓44%2.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.21–

Recent results

Şahdağ – last 6

WWWDWW
17 Sep@ Şimal4–1W
9 Sepvs Karvan2–0W
3 Sep@ MOIK1–0W
22 Mayvs Baku Sportinq1–1D
5 Mayvs Mingəçevir2–0W
29 Apr@ MOIK1–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Zaqatala – last 6

LWDWLL
16 Sep@ Karvan0–3L
10 Sepvs Baku Sportinq3–0W
4 Sep@ Mingəçevir2–2D
22 Mayvs Safa Baku2–1W
6 Mayvs Səbail0–3L
29 Apr@ Mingəçevir1–7L
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Apr 2026Zaqatala v Şahdağ0–1
25 Feb 2026Şahdağ v Zaqatala1–0
Şahdağ vs Zaqatala head-to-head page →

Birinci Dasta table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cəbrayıl7511+1316
2Şahdağ6501+1215
3MOIK7421+814
4Karvan7412+613
5Səbail7331+312
6Şimal7223-18
7Xankəndi FK7133-36
8Zaqatala7124-155
9Mingəçevir6114-94
10Baku Sportinq7016-141

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Şahdağ vs Zaqatala?

Our pick is Şahdağ to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Şahdağ vs Zaqatala?

On our numbers Şahdağ have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Zaqatala 13%.

How many goals will there be in Şahdağ vs Zaqatala?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Şahdağ vs Zaqatala?

Our predicted score is Şahdağ 2–0 Zaqatala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Şahdağ vs Zaqatala?

Şahdağ vs Zaqatala (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.