Baku Sportinq 20%Draw 18%MOIK 62%Expected goals 0.73 – 1.62
62%
Betarazi pick
MOIK to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Picks by market
ResultMOIK to win ✓62% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.48
Baku Sportinq vs MOIK: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 16 October the Birinci Dasta brings Baku Sportinq against MOIK. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Baku Sportinq are 10th, in the drop zone, on 1 points after 7 matches; MOIK are 3rd (among the top four) with 14. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Baku Sportinq, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Cəbrayıl, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
MOIK, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Mingəçevir, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours MOIK, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Baku Sportinq.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Apr 2026) it ended Baku Sportinq 3–1 MOIK.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Baku Sportinq 0.7 xG, MOIK 1.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Baku Sportinq 20%, draw 18%, MOIK 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was MOIK to win (62%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Baku Sportinq 0–1 MOIK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Baku Sportinq20%fair 4.96 · @3.40
Draw18%fair 5.57 · @3.40
MOIK62%fair 1.62 · @1.91
2.35Expected goals
0.73Baku Sportinq xG
1.62MOIK xG
45%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–212%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
1–07%
From our goals model: Baku Sportinq 0.7 – 1.6 MOIK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is MOIK to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Baku Sportinq vs MOIK?
On our numbers Baku Sportinq have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 18% and MOIK 62%.
How many goals will there be in Baku Sportinq vs MOIK?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baku Sportinq vs MOIK?
Our predicted score is Baku Sportinq 0–1 MOIK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Baku Sportinq vs MOIK?
Baku Sportinq vs MOIK (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
