Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
1
Value bet: Mutondo Stars to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRed Arrows to win ✓42% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · fair 1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.00
Mutondo Stars vs Red Arrows: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 4 October the Super League brings Mutondo Stars against Red Arrows. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Mutondo Stars are 9th, upper half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Red Arrows are 4th (among the top four) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Mutondo Stars, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to NAPSA Stars, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Red Arrows, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Inate Rouge, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Red Arrows, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.3 for Mutondo Stars.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mutondo Stars 0.9 xG, Red Arrows 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mutondo Stars 33%, draw 25%, Red Arrows 42%.
Price worth noting: Mutondo Stars to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mutondo Stars 0–1 Red Arrows. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mutondo Stars33%fair 3.02 · @3.30
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @2.80
Red Arrows42%fair 2.38 · @2.20
2.05Expected goals
0.94Mutondo Stars xG
1.11Red Arrows xG
44%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Mutondo Stars 0.9 – 1.1 Red Arrows expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Red Arrows to win✓
42%
2.38
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
–
Draw no bet
Red Arrows (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Mutondo Stars +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Red Arrows to score first
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Red Arrows / FT Red Arrows✓
22%
4.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.00
–
Recent results
Mutondo Stars – last 6
LLLDLD
24 May
@ NAPSA Stars
0–1
L
29 Apr
@ Mufulira Wanderers
0–1
L
15 Apr
vs Green Eagles
0–1
L
1 Apr
@ Konkola Blades
1–1
D
19 Mar
vs Zanaco
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ Nkwazi
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Red Arrows – last 6
WWWWDW
13 Sep
@ Inate Rouge
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Inate Rouge
2–0
W
22 May
vs Green Buffaloes
2–0
W
14 May
vs Green Eagles
2–1
W
29 Apr
vs Konkola Blades
1–1
D
1 Apr
@ Nkana
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mutondo Stars and Red Arrows.
What is the prediction for Mutondo Stars vs Red Arrows?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Mutondo Stars vs Red Arrows?
On our numbers Mutondo Stars have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Red Arrows 42%.
How many goals will there be in Mutondo Stars vs Red Arrows?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mutondo Stars vs Red Arrows?
Our predicted score is Mutondo Stars 0–1 Red Arrows, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Mutondo Stars vs Red Arrows?
Mutondo Stars vs Red Arrows (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
