Value bet: Nkwazi to win @ 3.80 – our chance 30% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGreen Buffaloes to win ✗45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.65
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.43
Green Buffaloes vs Nkwazi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nkwazi travel to face Green Buffaloes on Sunday 18 October in the Super League – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Green Buffaloes are 2nd, among the top four, on 0 points after 0 matches; Nkwazi are 7th (upper half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Green Buffaloes, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Roan United, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Nkwazi, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Chirundu Utd, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Green Buffaloes, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Nkwazi.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Green Buffaloes 1.0 xG, Nkwazi 0.7 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Green Buffaloes 45%, draw 25%, Nkwazi 30%.
Price worth noting: Nkwazi to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Green Buffaloes 0–0 Nkwazi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Green Buffaloes45%fair 2.22 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @2.75
Nkwazi30%fair 3.35 · @3.80
1.65Expected goals
0.96Green Buffaloes xG
0.69Nkwazi xG
39%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–019%
1–018%
0–113%
1–113%
2–09%
2–16%
From our goals model: Green Buffaloes 1.0 – 0.7 Nkwazi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Green Buffaloes to win✗
45%
2.22
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
–
Draw no bet
Green Buffaloes (draw no bet)
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Nkwazi +1 (Asian handicap)✓
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Green Buffaloes to score first✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
26%
3.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.43
–
Recent results
Green Buffaloes – last 6
DWLWDL
10 Oct
@ Roan United
0–0
D
4 Oct
vs Chirundu Utd
2–0
W
22 May
@ Red Arrows
0–2
L
29 Apr
vs Green Eagles
1–0
W
16 Apr
@ Man Utd Zambia Academy
0–0
D
1 Apr
@ ZESCO United
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Nkwazi – last 6
DLLLLW
10 Oct
vs Chirundu Utd
0–0
D
3 Oct
vs Roan United
1–2
L
24 May
@ Prison Leopards
0–1
L
29 Apr
@ Nchanga Rangers
0–1
L
22 Apr
vs Power Dynamos
0–1
L
15 Apr
vs NAPSA Stars
2–1
W
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Green Buffaloes and Nkwazi.
What is the prediction for Green Buffaloes vs Nkwazi?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Green Buffaloes vs Nkwazi?
On our numbers Green Buffaloes have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Nkwazi 30%.
How many goals will there be in Green Buffaloes vs Nkwazi?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Green Buffaloes vs Nkwazi?
Our predicted score is Green Buffaloes 0–0 Nkwazi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Green Buffaloes vs Nkwazi?
Green Buffaloes vs Nkwazi (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
