Value bet: ZESCO United to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultZESCO United to win ✗55% · @1.95
Double chanceZESCO United or draw ✓82% · fair 1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓63% · fair 1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20% · fair 4.90
Nkwazi vs ZESCO United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 31 October the Super League brings Nkwazi against ZESCO United. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Nkwazi are 7th, upper half, on 0 points after 0 matches; ZESCO United are 1st (leading the league) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Nkwazi, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Green Eagles, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
ZESCO United, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Roan United, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours ZESCO United, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Nkwazi.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nkwazi 0.6 xG, ZESCO United 1.3 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nkwazi 18%, draw 27%, ZESCO United 55%.
Price worth noting: ZESCO United to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nkwazi 0–1 ZESCO United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nkwazi18%fair 5.52 · @4.10
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @2.80
ZESCO United55%fair 1.82 · @1.95
1.81Expected goals
0.56Nkwazi xG
1.25ZESCO United xG
37%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–120%
0–016%
0–213%
1–111%
1–09%
1–27%
From our goals model: Nkwazi 0.6 – 1.3 ZESCO United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ZESCO United to win✗
55%
1.82
1.95 ▲
Double chance
ZESCO United or draw✓
82%
1.22
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
–
Draw no bet
ZESCO United (draw no bet)
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Nkwazi +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
ZESCO United to score first✗
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ZESCO United / FT ZESCO United✗
31%
3.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
20%
4.90
–
Recent results
Nkwazi – last 6
DDDLLL
24 Oct
vs Green Eagles
0–0
D
18 Oct
@ Green Buffaloes
0–0
D
10 Oct
vs Chirundu Utd
0–0
D
3 Oct
vs Roan United
1–2
L
24 May
@ Prison Leopards
0–1
L
29 Apr
@ Nchanga Rangers
0–1
L
0.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
ZESCO United – last 6
WWDLDW
28 Oct
@ Roan United
4–0
W
24 Oct
vs Mutondo Stars
5–0
W
18 Oct
vs Mufulira Wanderers
0–0
D
10 Oct
vs Green Eagles
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ Kabwe Warriors
1–1
D
20 May
@ Mines
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nkwazi and ZESCO United.
What is the prediction for Nkwazi vs ZESCO United?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Nkwazi vs ZESCO United?
On our numbers Nkwazi have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 27% and ZESCO United 55%.
How many goals will there be in Nkwazi vs ZESCO United?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nkwazi vs ZESCO United?
Our predicted score is Nkwazi 0–1 ZESCO United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Nkwazi vs ZESCO United?
Nkwazi vs ZESCO United (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
