Value bet: Under 1.5 goals @ 2.08 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRed Arrows to win ✗61% · @1.73
Double chanceRed Arrows or draw ✗89% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · @1.41
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗28% · fair 3.62
Red Arrows vs Nkwazi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nkwazi travel to face Red Arrows on Wednesday 4 November in the Super League – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Red Arrows are 4th, among the top four, on 0 points after 0 matches; Nkwazi are 7th (upper half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Red Arrows, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Chirundu Utd, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Nkwazi, last 5: DDDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with ZESCO United, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Red Arrows, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Nkwazi.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Mar 2026) it ended Red Arrows 0–0 Nkwazi.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Red Arrows 1.1 xG, Nkwazi 0.3 xG – a total near 1.4. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 76% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Red Arrows 61%, draw 28%, Nkwazi 11%.
GG/NG: NG (60%) at 1.41.
Price worth noting: Under 1.5 goals @2.08 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (76%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: Red Arrows 1–0 Nkwazi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Red Arrows61%fair 1.64 · @1.73
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @2.90
Nkwazi11%fair 8.89 · @5.05
1.42Expected goals
1.15Red Arrows xG
0.28Nkwazi xG
40%Both score
24%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–028%
0–024%
2–016%
1–18%
0–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Red Arrows 1.1 – 0.3 Nkwazi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Red Arrows vs Nkwazi?
On our numbers Red Arrows have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Nkwazi 11%.
How many goals will there be in Red Arrows vs Nkwazi?
We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Red Arrows vs Nkwazi?
Our predicted score is Red Arrows 1–0 Nkwazi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.4 goals in total.
When is Red Arrows vs Nkwazi?
Red Arrows vs Nkwazi (Super League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
