Nõmme United vs Vaprus: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:30 WAT, Wednesday 2 September: Nõmme United v Vaprus in the Cup.
Current form
Nõmme United, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Laagri, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Vaprus, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Kuressaare, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Vaprus, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Nõmme United.
Head to head
When they last met (14 Mar 2026) it ended Nõmme United 7–1 Vaprus.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nõmme United 3.0 xG, Vaprus 3.0 xG – a total near 6.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 94% and GG at 75%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nõmme United 40%, draw 21%, Vaprus 39%.
GG/NG: GG (75%) at 1.36.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (75%, odds 1.36 – longer than our fair 1.33, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nõmme United 3–2 Vaprus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nõmme United40%fair 2.51 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.40
Vaprus39%fair 2.56 · @2.50
6.00Expected goals
3.01Nõmme United xG
2.99Vaprus xG
75%Both score
94%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–25%
2–25%
3–35%
2–35%
4–24%
4–34%
From our goals model: Nõmme United 3.0 – 3.0 Vaprus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nõmme United vs Vaprus?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Nõmme United vs Vaprus?
On our numbers Nõmme United have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Vaprus 39%.
How many goals will there be in Nõmme United vs Vaprus?
We expect about 6.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 94% likely and both teams score 75% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nõmme United vs Vaprus?
Our predicted score is Nõmme United 3–2 Vaprus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 6.0 goals in total.
When is Nõmme United vs Vaprus?
Nõmme United vs Vaprus (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
