Rīgas FS 38%Draw 21%Riga 40%Expected goals 1.52 – 1.57
58%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultRiga to win ✓40% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.74
Rīgas FS vs Riga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Thursday 3 September: Rīgas FS v Riga in the Cup, played at LNK Sporta Parks.
Current form
Rīgas FS, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Ogre United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Riga, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to FK Liepaja, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Aug 2026) it ended Rīgas FS 3–3 Riga. The last 3 head-to-heads: Rīgas FS 0 wins, Riga 1, draws 2. Those games averaged 5.0 goals and saw GG land 3 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rīgas FS 1.5 xG, Riga 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 55% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rīgas FS 38%, draw 21%, Riga 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rīgas FS 1–2 Riga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rīgas FS38%fair 2.61 · @2.40
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.40
Riga40%fair 2.47 · @2.50
3.09Expected goals
1.52Rīgas FS xG
1.57Riga xG
55%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Rīgas FS 1.5 – 1.6 Riga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Rīgas FS vs Riga?
On our numbers Rīgas FS have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Riga 40%.
How many goals will there be in Rīgas FS vs Riga?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rīgas FS vs Riga?
Our predicted score is Rīgas FS 1–2 Riga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Rīgas FS vs Riga?
Rīgas FS vs Riga (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at LNK Sporta Parks.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cup · Latvia · LNK Sporta Parks
