Atletico el Vigia FC 14%Draw 22%Fundación Lara Deportiva 64%Expected goals 0.74 – 1.86
86%
Betarazi pick
Fundación Lara Deportiva or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Fundación Lara Deportiva to win @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFundación Lara Deportiva to win ✗64% · @1.80
Double chanceFundación Lara Deportiva or draw ✗86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.24
Atletico el Vigia FC vs Fundación Lara Deportiva: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:30 WAT, Sunday 23 August: Atletico el Vigia FC v Fundación Lara Deportiva in the Segunda División. In the table, Atletico el Vigia FC are 5th, upper half, on 44 points after 32 matches; Fundación Lara Deportiva are 2nd (among the top four) with 56. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atletico el Vigia FC, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Real Frontera, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Fundación Lara Deportiva, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Aragua FC, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (20 May 2026) it ended Fundación Lara Deportiva 5–0 Atletico el Vigia FC. The last 2 head-to-heads: Atletico el Vigia FC 0 wins, Fundación Lara Deportiva 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico el Vigia FC 0.7 xG, Fundación Lara Deportiva 1.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico el Vigia FC 14%, draw 22%, Fundación Lara Deportiva 64%.
Lower-risk option: Fundación Lara Deportiva or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Price worth noting: Fundación Lara Deportiva to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Fundación Lara Deportiva or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico el Vigia FC 0–1 Fundación Lara Deportiva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico el Vigia FC14%fair 7.12 · @3.75
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.40
Fundación Lara Deportiva64%fair 1.57 · @1.80
2.60Expected goals
0.74Atletico el Vigia FC xG
1.86Fundación Lara Deportiva xG
46%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Atletico el Vigia FC 0.7 – 1.9 Fundación Lara Deportiva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fundación Lara Deportiva to win✗
64%
1.57
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Fundación Lara Deportiva or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Fundación Lara Deportiva (draw no bet)✗
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Fundación Lara Deportiva -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Fundación Lara Deportiva to score first
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Fundación Lara Deportiva ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fundación Lara Deportiva / FT Fundación Lara Deportiva✗
What is the prediction for Atletico el Vigia FC vs Fundación Lara Deportiva?
Our pick is Fundación Lara Deportiva or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atletico el Vigia FC vs Fundación Lara Deportiva?
On our numbers Atletico el Vigia FC have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fundación Lara Deportiva 64%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico el Vigia FC vs Fundación Lara Deportiva?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico el Vigia FC vs Fundación Lara Deportiva?
Our predicted score is Atletico el Vigia FC 0–1 Fundación Lara Deportiva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Atletico el Vigia FC vs Fundación Lara Deportiva?
Atletico el Vigia FC vs Fundación Lara Deportiva (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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