Value bet: Corinthians to win @ 3.65 – our chance 31% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEstudiantes L.P. to win ✗44% · @2.24
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.11
Estudiantes L.P. vs Corinthians: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:30 WAT, Thursday 10 September: Estudiantes L.P. v Corinthians in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, played at Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi. In the table, Estudiantes L.P. are 2nd on 9 points after 6 matches; Corinthians are 1st with 11. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Estudiantes L.P., last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Velez Sarsfield, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Corinthians, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Chapecoense-sc, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Estudiantes L.P., collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Corinthians.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estudiantes L.P. 1.0 xG, Corinthians 0.8 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estudiantes L.P. 44%, draw 25%, Corinthians 31%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.48.
Price worth noting: Corinthians to win @3.65 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estudiantes L.P. 1–0 Corinthians. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estudiantes L.P.44%fair 2.30 · @2.24
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @2.86
Corinthians31%fair 3.19 · @3.65
1.84Expected goals
1.04Estudiantes L.P. xG
0.81Corinthians xG
48%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–016%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Estudiantes L.P. 1.0 – 0.8 Corinthians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estudiantes L.P. to win✗
44%
2.30
2.24
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.48
Draw no bet
Estudiantes L.P. (draw no bet)
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Corinthians +1 (Asian handicap)✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.73
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.09
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
1.03
First team to score
Estudiantes L.P. to score first✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.11
–
Recent results
Estudiantes L.P. – last 6
LDWLWW
6 Sep
@ Velez Sarsfield
0–1
L
31 Aug
vs Newells Old Boys
0–0
D
27 Aug
vs Barracas Central
3–1
W
23 Aug
@ Sarmiento Junin
0–2
L
19 Aug
@ U. Catolica
3–0
W
15 Aug
vs Gimnasia L.P.
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Corinthians – last 6
LLLWLD
6 Sep
vs Chapecoense-sc
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Santos
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Coritiba
1–2
L
21 Aug
vs Rosario Central
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Cruzeiro
1–2
L
14 Aug
@ Rosario Central
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estudiantes L.P. and Corinthians.
What is the prediction for Estudiantes L.P. vs Corinthians?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Estudiantes L.P. vs Corinthians?
On our numbers Estudiantes L.P. have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Corinthians 31%.
How many goals will there be in Estudiantes L.P. vs Corinthians?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estudiantes L.P. vs Corinthians?
Our predicted score is Estudiantes L.P. 1–0 Corinthians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Estudiantes L.P. vs Corinthians?
Estudiantes L.P. vs Corinthians (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
