Palmeiras 67%Draw 20%LDU de Quito 13%Expected goals 1.64 – 0.49
67%
Betarazi pick
Palmeiras to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultPalmeiras to win ✓67% · @1.25
Double chancePalmeiras or draw ✓87% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19% · fair 5.15
Palmeiras vs LDU de Quito: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 9 September the CONMEBOL Libertadores brings Palmeiras against LDU de Quito at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Palmeiras are 2nd on 11 points after 6 matches; LDU de Quito are 1st with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Palmeiras, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Botafogo, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
LDU de Quito, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Tecnico Universitario, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Palmeiras 1.6 xG, LDU de Quito 0.5 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Palmeiras 67%, draw 20%, LDU de Quito 13%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Palmeiras to win (67%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Palmeiras 1–0 LDU de Quito. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Palmeiras67%fair 1.49 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @4.80
LDU de Quito13%fair 7.97 · @13.00
2.13Expected goals
1.64Palmeiras xG
0.49LDU de Quito xG
47%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
2–016%
0–012%
1–110%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Palmeiras 1.6 – 0.5 LDU de Quito expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palmeiras to win✓
67%
1.49
1.25
Double chance
Palmeiras or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.40
Draw no bet
Palmeiras (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Palmeiras -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Palmeiras to score first✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palmeiras / FT Palmeiras✓
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
19%
5.15
–
Recent results
Palmeiras – last 6
DDDWWW
6 Sep
@ Botafogo
0–0
D
3 Sep
@ Santos
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Mirassol
1–1
D
27 Aug
vs Santos
3–0
W
23 Aug
vs Vasco DA Gama
4–1
W
19 Aug
@ Cerro Porteno
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
LDU de Quito – last 6
WDLWWD
5 Sep
@ Tecnico Universitario
3–1
W
2 Sep
vs Mushuc Runa SC
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Guayaquil City FC
1–2
L
26 Aug
vs Aucas
1–0
W
24 Aug
vs Emelec
2–0
W
20 Aug
vs Mirassol
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Palmeiras and LDU de Quito.
What is the prediction for Palmeiras vs LDU de Quito?
Our pick is Palmeiras to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Palmeiras vs LDU de Quito?
On our numbers Palmeiras have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and LDU de Quito 13%.
How many goals will there be in Palmeiras vs LDU de Quito?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palmeiras vs LDU de Quito?
Our predicted score is Palmeiras 1–0 LDU de Quito, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Palmeiras vs LDU de Quito?
Palmeiras vs LDU de Quito (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
