Value bet: Estudiantes L.P. to win @ 4.20 – our chance 31% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCorinthians to win ✗44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.05
Corinthians vs Estudiantes L.P.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Estudiantes L.P. travel to face Corinthians on Thursday 17 September in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, with Neo Quimica Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT. In the table, Corinthians are 1st on 11 points after 6 matches; Estudiantes L.P. are 2nd with 9. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Corinthians, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Flamengo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Estudiantes L.P., last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Platense, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Estudiantes L.P., collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Corinthians.
Head to head
When they last met (10 Sep 2026) it ended Estudiantes L.P. 1–1 Corinthians.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Corinthians 1.0 xG, Estudiantes L.P. 0.8 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Corinthians 44%, draw 25%, Estudiantes L.P. 31%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Estudiantes L.P. to win @4.20 – the bookmaker implies 24%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (53%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Corinthians 1–0 Estudiantes L.P.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Corinthians44%fair 2.29 · @2.00
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @2.80
Estudiantes L.P.31%fair 3.20 · @4.20
1.83Expected goals
1.03Corinthians xG
0.80Estudiantes L.P. xG
47%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–016%
1–113%
0–113%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Corinthians 1.0 – 0.8 Estudiantes L.P. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Corinthians vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Corinthians vs Estudiantes L.P.?
On our numbers Corinthians have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Estudiantes L.P. 31%.
How many goals will there be in Corinthians vs Estudiantes L.P.?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Corinthians vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Our predicted score is Corinthians 1–0 Estudiantes L.P., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Corinthians vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Corinthians vs Estudiantes L.P. (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Neo Quimica Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
