Value bet: Palmeiras to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPalmeiras to win ✗38% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.64
LDU de Quito vs Palmeiras: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
LDU de Quito welcome Palmeiras to Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado for a CONMEBOL Libertadores fixture on Wednesday 16 September (23:00 WAT). In the table, LDU de Quito are 1st on 12 points after 6 matches; Palmeiras are 2nd with 11. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
LDU de Quito, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deportivo Cuenca, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Palmeiras, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sao Paulo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Palmeiras, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for LDU de Quito.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Sep 2026) it ended Palmeiras 1–0 LDU de Quito.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give LDU de Quito 1.0 xG, Palmeiras 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – LDU de Quito 37%, draw 25%, Palmeiras 38%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Palmeiras to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 2.00). Most likely score in line with that pick: LDU de Quito 1–1 Palmeiras. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
LDU de Quito37%fair 2.69 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @2.90
Palmeiras38%fair 2.62 · @2.80
2.00Expected goals
0.99LDU de Quito xG
1.01Palmeiras xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: LDU de Quito 1.0 – 1.0 Palmeiras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for LDU de Quito vs Palmeiras?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win LDU de Quito vs Palmeiras?
On our numbers LDU de Quito have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Palmeiras 38%.
How many goals will there be in LDU de Quito vs Palmeiras?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for LDU de Quito vs Palmeiras?
Our predicted score is LDU de Quito 1–1 Palmeiras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is LDU de Quito vs Palmeiras?
LDU de Quito vs Palmeiras (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
