Esteghlal FC 32%Draw 24%Persepolis FC 43%Expected goals 0.98 – 1.21
63%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPersepolis FC to win ✗43% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.49
Esteghlal FC vs Persepolis FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Persepolis FC travel to face Esteghlal FC on Wednesday 2 September in the Persian Gulf Pro League, with Azadi Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Esteghlal FC are 5th, upper half, on 21 points after 11 matches; Persepolis FC are 2nd (among the top four) with 23. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Esteghlal FC, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Foolad FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Persepolis FC, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Malavan, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Esteghlal FC, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for Persepolis FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Esteghlal FC 1.0 xG, Persepolis FC 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Esteghlal FC 32%, draw 24%, Persepolis FC 43%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Esteghlal FC 1–1 Persepolis FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Esteghlal FC32%fair 3.10 · @2.90
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @2.95
Persepolis FC43%fair 2.30 · @2.40
2.19Expected goals
0.98Esteghlal FC xG
1.21Persepolis FC xG
52%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Esteghlal FC 1.0 – 1.2 Persepolis FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Persepolis FC to win✗
43%
2.30
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Persepolis FC (draw no bet)
57%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Esteghlal FC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Persepolis FC to score first
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Persepolis FC / FT Persepolis FC✗
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.49
–
Recent results
Esteghlal FC – last 6
DWWWWW
28 Aug
@ Foolad FC
0–0
D
23 Aug
vs Sepahan FC
2–0
W
18 Aug
@ Nassaji Mazandaran
1–0
W
14 Aug
vs Mes Shahr-e Babak
4–0
W
27 Feb
vs Fajr Sepasi
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Mes Rafsanjan
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Persepolis FC – last 5
WLWWL
29 Aug
vs Malavan
3–0
W
24 Aug
@ Tractor Sazi
0–1
L
19 Aug
vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
4–1
W
15 Aug
@ Shams Azar Qazvin
2–0
W
20 Feb
vs Kheybar Khorramabad
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Esteghlal FC and Persepolis FC.
What is the prediction for Esteghlal FC vs Persepolis FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Esteghlal FC vs Persepolis FC?
On our numbers Esteghlal FC have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Persepolis FC 43%.
How many goals will there be in Esteghlal FC vs Persepolis FC?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Esteghlal FC vs Persepolis FC?
Our predicted score is Esteghlal FC 1–1 Persepolis FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Esteghlal FC vs Persepolis FC?
Esteghlal FC vs Persepolis FC (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Azadi Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
